GOLD: $1231.95 UP $6.45 (COMEX TO COMEX CLOSINGS)
Silver: $15.58 UP 8 CENTS (COMEX TO COMEX CLOSINGS)
Closing access prices:
Gold $1231.65
silver: $15.61
For comex gold:
JULY/
NUMBER OF NOTICES FILED TODAY FOR JULY CONTRACT:0 NOTICE(S) FOR nil oz
TOTAL NOTICES SO FAR 99 FOR 9900 OZ (0.3079 tonnes)
For silver:
JUNE
54 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR
270,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 5728 for 28,640,000 oz
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Bitcoin: BID $8173/OFFER $8258: DOWN $97(morning)
Bitcoin: BID/ $8103/offer $8188: DOWN $167 (CLOSING/5 PM)
end
First Shanghai gold fix comes at 10 pm est
The second Shanghai gold fix: 2:15 pm
First Shanghai gold fix gold: 10 pm est: 1228.34
NY price at the same time: 1225.40
PREMIUM TO NY SPOT: $2.94
XX
Second gold fix early this morning: 1228.64
USA gold at the exact same time:1226.90
PREMIUM TO NY SPOT: $1.74
China is controlling the gold market
WE WILL NOT PROVIDE LONDON FIXES AS THEY ARE NOT ACCURATE AS TO WHAT IS GOING ON AT THE SAME TIME FRAME.
Let us have a look at the data for today
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In silver, the total OPEN INTEREST FELL BY A SMALL SIZED 1000CONTRACTS FROM 215,000 UP TO 214,596 DESPITE YESTERDAY’S 8 GAIN IN SILVER PRICING. WE HAVE NOW WITNESSED A SLOW COMEX ACCUMULATION THESE PAST SEVERAL DAYS. ON TOP OF THIS WE HAVE ALSO WITNESSED A LARGE AMOUNT OF PHYSICAL METAL STAND FOR COMEX DELIVERY(OVER 30 MILLION OZ AT THE COMEX) AS WELL AS CONSIDERABLE LONGS PACKING THEIR BAGS AND MIGRATING OVER TO LONDON IN GREATER NUMBERS IN THE FORM OF EFP’S. WE WERE NOTIFIED THAT WE HAD A SMALL SIZED NUMBER OF COMEX LONGS TRANSFERRING THEIR CONTRACTS TO LONDON THROUGH THE EFP: 886 EFP’S FOR SEPT. , 0 EFP’S FOR DECEMBER AND ZERO FOR ALL OTHER MONTHS AND THEREFORE TOTAL ISSUANCE: OF 886 CONTRACTS. WITH THE TRANSFER OF 886 CONTRACTS, WHAT THE CME IS STATING IS THAT THERE IS NO SILVER (OR GOLD) TO BE DELIVERED UPON AT THE COMEX AS THEY MUST EXPORT THEIR OBLIGATION TO LONDON. ALSO KEEP IN MIND THAT THERE CAN BE A DELAY OF 24-48 HRS IN THE ISSUING OF EFP’S. THE 886 EFP CONTRACTS TRANSLATES INTO 4.43 MILLION OZ AND ACCOMPANYING:
1.THE 8 CENT GAIN IN SILVER PRICEAT THE COMEX AND
2. THE STRONG AMOUNT OF SILVER OUNCES WHICH STOOD FOR THE JUNE/2018 COMEX DELIVERY MONTH. (5.420 MILLION OZ) AND NOW JULY/ 2018 WITH 29.820 MILLION OZ INITIALLY STANDING FOR DELIVERY(SEE DATA BELOW).
ACCUMULATION FOR EFP’S/SILVER/J.P.MORGAN’S HOUSE OF BRIBES, / STARTING FROM FIRST DAY NOTICE/FOR MONTH OF JUNE:
32,198 CONTRACTS (FOR 17 TRADING DAYS TOTAL 32,198 CONTRACTS) OR 160.99 MILLION OZ: (AVERAGE PER DAY: 1894 CONTRACTS OR 9.470 MILLION OZ/DAY)
TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA AS TO THE HUGE SUPPLY THIS MONTH IN SILVER: SO FAR THIS MONTH OF JULY: 160.99 MILLION PAPER OZ HAVE MORPHED OVER TO LONDON. THIS REPRESENTS AROUND 22.99% OF ANNUAL GLOBAL PRODUCTION (EX CHINA EX RUSSIA)* JUNE’S 345.43 MILLION OZ IS THE SECOND HIGHEST RECORDED ISSUANCE OF EFP’S AND IT FOLLOWED THE RECORD SET IN APRIL 2018 OF 385.75 MILLION OZ.
ACCUMULATION IN YEAR 2018 TO DATE SILVER EFP’S: 1,820.71 MILLION OZ.
ACCUMULATION FOR JAN 2018: 236.879 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR FEB 2018: 244.95 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR MARCH 2018: 236.67 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR APRIL 2018: 385.75 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR MAY 2018: 210.05 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR JUNE 2018: 345.43 MILLION OZ
RESULT: WE HAD A SMALL SIZED DECREASE IN COMEX OI SILVER COMEX CONTRACTS OF 1000 DESPITE THE 8 CENT GAIN IN SILVER PRICING AT THE COMEX YESTERDAY. THE CME NOTIFIED US THAT WE HAD A SMALL SIZED EFP ISSUANCE OF 684 CONTRACTS WHICH EXITED OUT OF THE SILVER COMEX AND TRANSFERRED THEIR OI TO LONDON AS FORWARDS. SPECULATORS CONTINUED THEIR INTEREST IN ATTACKING THE SILVER COMEX FOR PHYSICAL SILVER (SEE COMEX DATA) . FROM THE CME DATA: 886 EFP’S FOR SEPT, 0 EFP’S FOR DECEMBER AND ZERO FOR ALL OVER MONTHS FOR A DELIVERABLE FORWARD CONTRACT OVER IN LONDON WITH A FIAT BONUS (TOTAL: 886). TODAY WE LOST A SMALL SIZED:114 TOTAL OI CONTRACTS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES:
i.e 886 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS HEADED FOR LONDON (EFP’s) TOGETHER WITH AN DECREASE OF1000 OI COMEX CONTRACTS. AND ALL OF THIS DEMAND HAPPENED WITH A 8 CENT RISE IN PRICE OF SILVER AND A CLOSING PRICE OF $15.47 WITH RESPECT TO YESTERDAY’S TRADING. YET WE STILL HAVE A GIGANTIC AMOUNT OF SILVER STANDING AT THE COMEX FOR DELIVERY IN THIS ACTIVE JULY DELIVERY MONTH OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN 30 MILLION OZ. IT SURE LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER FAILED BANKER SHORT COVERING EXERCISE AS BANKERS ARE SCRAMBLING TO COVER THEIR HUGE SHORTFALL.
In ounces AT THE COMEX, the OI is still represented by OVER 1 BILLION oz i.e. 1.078 MILLION OZ TO BE EXACT or 154% of annual global silver production (ex Russia & ex China).
FOR THE NEW FRONT JULY MONTH/ THEY FILED AT THE COMEX: 153 NOTICE(S) FOR 765,000 OZ OF SILVER
IN SILVER, WE SET THE NEW RECORD OF OPEN INTEREST AT 243,411 CONTRACTS ON APRIL 9.2018. AND AGAIN THIS HAS BEEN SET WITH A LOW PRICE OF $16.51
ON THE DEMAND SIDE WE HAVE THE FOLLOWING:
- HUGE AMOUNTS OF SILVER STANDING FOR DELIVERY (MARCH/2018: 27 MILLION OZ , APRIL/2018 : 2.485 MILLION OZ MAY: 36.285 MILLION OZ ; JUNE/2018 (5.420 MILLION OZ) AND NOW JULY 2018 AMOUNT INITIALLY STANDING: 29.820 MILLION OZ )
- HUGE RECORD OPEN INTEREST IN SILVER 243,411 CONTRACTS (OR 1.217 BILLION OZ/ SET APRIL 9/2018
- HUGE ANNUAL EFP’S ISSUANCE EQUAL TO 2.9 BILLION OZ OR 400% OF SILVER ANNUAL PRODUCTION/2017
- RECORD SETTING EFP ISSUANCE FOR ANY MONTH IN SILVER; APRIL/2018/ 385.75 MILLION OZ/ AND THE SECOND HIGHEST RECORDED EFP ISSUANCE JUNE 2018 345.43 MILLION OZ
AND YET, WITH THE EXTREMELY HIGH EFP ISSUANCE, WE HAVE A CONTINUAL LOW PRICE OF SILVER DESPITE THE ABOVE HUGE DEMAND. TO ME THE ONLY ANSWER IS THAT WE HAVE SOVEREIGN (CHINA) WHO IS ENDEAVOURING TO GOBBLE UP ALL AVAILABLE PHYSICAL SILVER NO MATTER WHERE, EXACTLY WHAT J.P.MORGAN IS DOING. AND IT IS MY BELIEF THAT J.P.MORGAN IS HOLDING ITS SILVER FOR ITS BENEFICIAL OWNER..THE USA GOVERNMENT WHO IN TURN IS HOLDING THAT SILVER FOR CHINA.(FOR A SILVER LOAN REPAYMENT).
IN GOLD, THE OPEN INTEREST SURPRISINGLY ROSE BY A CONSIDERABLE SIZED 1476CONTRACTS UP TO 496,620 WITH THE TINY LOSS IN THE COMEX GOLD PRICE/YESTERDAY’S TRADING (A DROP IN PRICE OF $0.10). WE ARE NOW ENTERING THE LAST DAYS IN THIS ACTIVE DELIVERY MONTH OF JULY AND AS CUSTOMARY WE SEE THE BOYS ARE CASHING IN THEIR COMEX LONGS TO BEGIN THE PROCESS TO MOVE INTO LONDON FORWARDS. THIS PROCEDURE HAS BEEN GOING ON NOW FOR OVER 2 AND 1/2 YEARS. THE CME RELEASED THE DATA FOR EFP ISSUANCE AND IT TOTALED AN VERY STRONG SIZED 10,085 CONTRACTS : AUGUST SAW THE ISSUANCE OF: 10,085 CONTRACTS, DECEMBER HAD AN ISSUANCE OF 0 CONTACTS AND THEN ALL OTHER MONTHS ZERO. The new COMEX OI for the gold complex rests at 496,620. ALSO REMEMBER THAT THERE WILL BE A DELAY IN THE ISSUANCE OF EFP’S. THE BANKERS REMOVE LONG POSITIONS OF COMEX GOLD IMMEDIATELY. THEN THEY ORCHESTRATE THEIR PRIVATE EFP DEAL WITH THE LONGS AND THAT COULD TAKE AN ADDITIONAL 48 HRS SO WE GENERALLY DO NOT GET A MATCH WITH RESPECT TO DEPARTING COMEX LONGS AND NEW EFP LONG TRANSFERS. . EVEN THOUGH THE BANKERS ISSUED THESE MONSTROUS EFPS, THE OBLIGATION STILL RESTS WITH THE BANKERS TO SUPPLY METAL BUT IT TRANSFERS THE RISK TO A LONDON BANKER OBLIGATION AND NOT A NEW YORK COMEX OBLIGATION. LONGS RECEIVE A FIAT BONUS TOGETHER WITH A LONG LONDON FORWARD. THUS, BY THESE ACTIONS, THE BANKERS AT THE COMEX HAVE JUST STATED THAT THEY HAVE NO APPRECIABLE METAL!! THIS IS A MASSIVE FRAUD: THEY CANNOT SUPPLY ANY METAL TO OUR COMEX LONGS BUT THEY ARE QUITE WILLING TO SUPPLY MASSIVE NON BACKED GOLD (AND SILVER) PAPER KNOWING THAT THEY HAVE NO METAL TO SATISFY OUR LONGS. LONDON IS NOW SEVERELY BACKWARD IN BOTH GOLD AND SILVER AND WE ARE WITNESSING DELAYS IN ACTUAL DELIVERIES.
IN ESSENCE WE HAVE A STRONG OI GAIN IN TOTAL CONTRACTS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES OF 11561 CONTRACTS: 1476OI CONTRACTS INCREASED AT THE COMEX AND 10,085 EFP OI CONTRACTS WHICH NAVIGATED OVER TO LONDON. THUS TOTAL OI GAIN: 11,561CONTRACTS OR 1,156,100 OZ = 35.96 TONNES. AND ALL OF THIS DEMAND OCCURRED WITH THE LOSS IN THE PRICE OF GOLD/ YESTERDAY TO THE TUNE OF $0.10.
YESTERDAY, WE HAD 20736 EFP’S ISSUED.
ACCUMULATION OF EFP’S GOLD AT J.P. MORGAN’S HOUSE OF BRIBES: (EXCHANGE FOR PHYSICAL) FOR THE MONTH OF JUNE : 162,327 CONTRACTS OR 16,232,700 OZ OR 504.70 TONNES (17 TRADING DAYS AND THUS AVERAGING: 9548 EFP CONTRACTS PER TRADING DAY OR 954,800 OZ/ TRADING DAY),,
TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA AS TO THE HUGE SIZE OF THESE EFP TRANSFERS : THIS MONTH IN 17 TRADING DAYS IN TONNES: 504.70 TONNES
TOTAL ANNUAL GOLD PRODUCTION, 2017, THROUGHOUT THE WORLD EX CHINA EX RUSSIA: 2555 TONNES
THUS EFP TRANSFERS REPRESENTS 504,70/2550 x 100% TONNES = 18.56% OF GLOBAL ANNUAL PRODUCTION SO FAR IN JULY ALONE.***
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S YEAR 2018 TO DATE: 4,60773* TONNES *SURPASSED ANNUAL PROD’N
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR JANUARY 2018: 653.22 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR FEBRUARY 2018: 649.45 TONNES (20 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR MARCH 2018: 741.89 TONNES (22 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR APRIL 2018: 713.84 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR MAY 2018: 693.80 TONNES ( 22 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP FOR JUNE 2018 650.71 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
WHAT IS ALARMING TO ME, ACCORDING TO OUR LONDON EXPERT ANDREW MAGUIRE IS THAT THESE EFP’S ARE BEING TRANSFERRED TO WHAT ARE CALLED SERIAL FORWARD CONTRACT OBLIGATIONS AND THESE CONTRACTS ARE LESS THAN 14 DAYS. ANYTHING GREATER THAN 14 DAYS, THESE MUST BE RECORDED AND SENT TO THE COMPTROLLER, GREAT BRITAIN TO MONITOR RISK TO THE BANKING SYSTEM. IF THIS IS INDEED TRUE, THEN THIS IS A MASSIVE CONSPIRACY TO DEFRAUD AS WE NOW WITNESS A MONSTROUS TOTAL EFP’S ISSUANCE AS IT HEADS INTO THE STRATOSPHERE.
Result: A GOOD SIZED INCREASE IN OI AT THE COMEX OF 1476 DESPITETHE TINY LOSS IN PRICING (0.10 CENTS) THAT GOLD UNDERTOOK YESTERDAY // . WE ALSO HAD A VERY STRONG SIZED NUMBER OF COMEX LONG TRANSFERRING TO LONDON THROUGH THE EFP ROUTE: 10,085 CONTRACTS AS THESE HAVE ALREADY BEEN NEGOTIATED AND CONFIRMED. THERE OBVIOUSLY DOES NOT SEEM TO BE MUCH PHYSICAL GOLD AT THE COMEX. I GUESS IT EXPLAINS THE HUGE ISSUANCE OF EFP’S…THERE IS HARDLY ANY GOLD PRESENT AT THE GOLD COMEX FOR DELIVERY PURPOSES. IF YOU TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE 10,085 EFP CONTRACTS ISSUED, WE HAD A VERY STRONG NET GAIN OF 11,561CONTRACTS IN TOTAL OPEN INTEREST ON THE TWO EXCHANGES:
10,086 CONTRACTS MOVE TO LONDON AND 1476 CONTRACTS INCREASED AT THE COMEX. (in tonnes, the GAIN in total oi equates to 35.96 TONNES). ..AND THIS DEMAND OCCURRED WITH THE TINY LOSS OF $0.10 IN YESTERDAY’S TRADING AT THE COMEX!!!.
we had: 0 notice(s) filed upon for NIL oz of gold at the comex.
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With respect to our two criminal funds, the GLD and the SLV:
GLD...
WITH GOLD UP $6.45 TODAY: /
NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD:
/GLD INVENTORY 802.55 TONNES
Inventory rests tonight: 802.55 tonnes.
TO ALL INVESTORS THINKING OF BUYING GOLD THROUGH THE GLD ROUTE: YOU ARE MAKING A TERRIBLE MISTAKE AS THE CROOKS ARE USING WHATEVER GOLD COMES IN TO ATTACK BY SELLING THAT GOLD. IT SURE SEEMS TO ME THAT THE GOLD OBLIGATIONS AT THE GLD EXCEED THEIR INVENTORY
SLV/
WITH SILVER UP 8 CENTS TODAY :
A SMALL CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV; A WITHDRAWAL OF 658,000 OZ
/INVENTORY RESTS AT 328.304 MILLION OZ/
NOTE THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN THE GLD AND SLV: THE CROOKS CAN RAID GOLD BECAUSE THEY DO HAVE SOME PHYSICAL. THEY DO NOT RAID SILVER PROBABLY BECAUSE THERE IS NO REAL SILVER INVENTORIES BEHIND THEM
end
First, here is an outline of what will be discussed tonight:
1. Today, we had the open interest in SILVER FELL BY A SMALL SIZED 1000 CONTRACTS from 215,596 DOWN TO 214,596 (AND FURTHER FROM THE NEW COMEX RECORD SET /APRIL 9/2017 AT 243,411/SILVER PRICE AT THAT DAY: $16.53). THE PREVIOUS RECORD OTHER THAN WAS ESTABLISHED AT: 234,787, SET ON APRIL 21.2017 OVER ONE YEAR AGO. THE PRICE OF SILVER ON THAT DAY: $17.89. OUR CUSTOMARY MIGRATION OF COMEX LONGS MORPH INTO LONDON FORWARDS CONTINUES AS OUR BANKERS USED THEIR EMERGENCY PROCEDURE TO ISSUE:
886 EFP CONTRACTS FOR SEPT., 0 EFP CONTRACTS FOR DECEMBER AND ALL OTHER MONTHS: ZERO. TOTAL EFP ISSUANCE: 886 CONTRACTS . EFP’S GIVE OUR COMEX LONGS A FIAT BONUS PLUS A DELIVERABLE PRODUCT OVER IN LONDON. IF WE TAKE THE OI LOSS AT THE COMEX OF 549 CONTRACTS TO THE 886 OI TRANSFERRED TO LONDON THROUGH EFP’S, WE OBTAIN A SMALL NET LOSS OF 114 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS. THUS IN OUNCES, THE LOSS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES: 0.570 MILLION OZ!!! AND YET WE ALSO HAVE A STRONG DEMAND FOR PHYSICAL AS WE WITNESS AN INITIAL STANDING OF SLIGHTLY LESS THAN 30 MILLION OZ AND YET ALL OF THIS DEMAND OCCURRED DESPITE A SMALL 8 CENT GAIN IN PRICE. WE DEFINITELY HAD BANKER CAPITULATION THESE PAST 3 DAYS AS THEY TRIED DESPERATELY TO SHED SOME OF THEIR HUGE SILVER SHORTFALL. THE CABAL DID NOT LIKE WHAT THEY HEARD FROM TRUMP THAT HE IS ANGRY WITH THE FED AND WANTS LOWER INTEREST RATES. THAT WILL PROPEL BOTH GOLD AND SILVER.
IT SURE LOOKS LIKE WE ARE GETTING SOME COVERING FROM THE BANKERS SIDE ESPECIALLY WHEN YOU SEE A GOOD GAIN IN PRICE AND THEN A FALL IN COMEX OI AND A SMALLER THAN EXPECTED EFP ISSUANCE.
RESULT: A SMALL SIZED DECREASE IN SILVER OI AT THE COMEX DESPITE THE 8 CENT GAIN THAT SILVER UNDERTOOK IN PRICING YESTERDAY. BUT WE ALSO HAD A SMALL SIZED 886 EFP’S ISSUED TRANSFERRING COMEX LONGS OVER TO LONDON. TOGETHER WITH THE STRONG SIZED AMOUNT OF SILVER OUNCES STANDING FOR JULY, DEMAND FOR PHYSICAL SILVER CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS WE WITNESS SEVERE BACKWARDATION IN SILVER IN LONDON AS WELL AS THE STRONG AMOUNT OF PHYSICAL STANDING FOR METAL AT THE COMEX. BANKER CAPITULATION ON FRIDAY
(report Harvey)
.
2.a) The Shanghai and London gold fix report
(Harvey)
2 b) Gold/silver trading overnight Europe, Goldcore
(Mark O’Byrne/zerohedge
and in NY: Bloomberg
3. ASIAN AFFAIRS
i)WEDNESDAY MORNING/TUESDAY NIGHT: Shanghai closed DOWN 1.92 POINTS OR 0.07% /Hang Sang CLOSED UP 258.33 POINTS OR 0.90%/ / The Nikkei closed UP 100.77 POINTS OR 0.46%/Australia’s all ordinaires CLOSED DOWN 0.21% /Chinese yuan (ONSHORE) closed UP at 6.7640 AS POBC STOPS ITS HUGE DEVALUATION /Oil UP to 68.42 dollars per barrel for WTI and 73.83 for Brent. Stocks in Europe OPENED RED//. ONSHORE YUAN CLOSED UP AT 6.7640 AGAINST THE DOLLAR. OFFSHORE YUAN CLOSED DOWN ON THE DOLLAR AT 6.7749: HUGE DEVALUATION/PAST SEVERAL DAYS STOPS : /ONSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST OFFSHORE YUAN/ONSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST USA DOLLAR/OFFSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST THE DOLLAR /CHINA RETALIATES WITH TARIFFS/ TRUMP RESPONDS TO NEW TARIFFS AND IT NOW A FULL TRADE WAR COMMENCED
/NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA
i)North Korea/South Korea/USA/Russia
b) REPORT ON JAPAN
3 c CHINA
4. EUROPEAN AFFAIRS
i)Germany/Deutsche bank
The bank’s most important trading sector, fixed income from currency and commodities and its most profitable sector, tumbled 17% in the second quarter and that sent its stock lower this morning
( zerohedge)
Trump is not going to like this: with the meeting set for 1:30 pm today, the EU plans another 20 billion in retaliatory tariffs
(courtesy zerohedge)
5. RUSSIAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN AFFAIRS
Turkey/USA
Congress blocks F35 shipments to Turkey even though Mattis pleads with Congress to allow the sale.
(courtesy zerohedge)
6 .GLOBAL ISSUES
Fitch states that the trade war will affect global GDP by .4% and hurt Canada, USA and Mexico the most
(courtesy zerohedge)
7. OIL ISSUES
8. EMERGING MARKET
9. PHYSICAL MARKETS
We have been highlighting this to you for the past month; there is a direct correlation between the yuan value and gold; the lower the yuan, the lower the price of gold and visa versa
(courtesy Craig Hemke/Sprott/GATA)
10. USA stories which will influence the price of gold/silver)
i)Market trading /GOLD/MARKET MOVERS:
a)the dollar continues to sink after Trump initially scolded the Fed for raising rates. The IMF latest warnings seem to agree with Trump that the dollar is overvalued and the yuan, Euro undervalued
(courtesy zerohedge)
b)USA senators introduce a bipartisan bill to delay auto tariffs. The Cdn dollar receives the most benefit on this.
( zerohedge)
First we witnessed existing home sales plummet and today, perhaps the most important component of the housing sector: new home sales, also tumbled to a 8 month low. However this occurred despite a plunging price..Seems that the economy stopped on a dime..
(courtesy zerohedge)
d)We have been witnessing this for a quite a while: house prices continuing to rise. However buyer fatigue has now stepped in as prices are just a little too high for the average person to carry which now leads to a collapse in demand.
( Mish Shedlock/Mishtalk)
e)The uSA is give $12 billion to farmers in the form of subsidies to help with the devastating trade war with China, Europe and Canada
iv)SWAMP STORIES
a)A nothing burger..CNN leaks a confidential Trump-Cohen recording where Trump talks about setting up a corporation to pay McDougal. When you use a corporation, then you do not use cash..
( zerohedge)
b)Donald Trump is angry at 1) being taped and 20 the tape being released. However this is a “nothing burger”
d)Here is a very important commentary from Ray McGovern of Consortium News. He outlines how Lisa Page spilled the beans where she confirms that Strzok’s “there is no there, there” means that there is no Russian collusion. However he takes the job hoping for impeachment of Trump.
( Ray McGovern/Consortium news)
Trading Volumes on the COMEX
PRELIMINARY COMEX VOLUME FOR TODAY: 303,679 contracts
CONFIRMED COMEX VOL. FOR YESTERDAY: 380,662 CONTRACT,
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And now for the wild silver comex results.
Total silver OI FELL BY A FAIR SIZED 1000 CONTRACTS FROM 215,596 DOWN TO 214,596 (AND A LITTLE FURTHER FROM THE THE NEW RECORD OI FOR SILVER SET APRIL 9.2018/ 243,411 CONTRACTS) DESPITE THE SMALL 11 CENT FALL IN SILVER PRICING/ YESTERDAY. SINCE WE ARE NOW INTO THE ACTIVE DELIVERY MONTH OF JULY, WE WERE INFORMED THAT WE HAD A SMALL SIZED 886 EFP CONTRACTS FOR SEPT., 0 EFP CONTRACTS FOR DECEMBER AND ZERO FOR ALL OTHER MONTHS. THESE EFPS WERE ISSUED TO COMEX LONGS WHO RECEIVED A FIAT BONUS PLUS A DELIVERABLE PRODUCT OVER IN LONDON. THE TOTAL EFP’S ISSUED: 886. ON A NET BASIS WE LOST 114 SILVER OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS AS WE OBTAINED A 1000 CONTRACT LOSS AT THE COMEX COMBINING WITH THE ADDITION OF 886 OI CONTRACTS NAVIGATING OVER TO LONDON.
NET LOSS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES: 114 CONTRACTS
AMOUNT STANDING FOR SILVER AT THE COMEX
We are now in the active delivery month of JULY and here the front month FELL by 129 contacts to stand at 290 contracts. We had 153 notices filed yesterday so we GAINED 24 contracts or an additional 120,000 oz refused to morph into London based forwards and receive a fiat bonus for their efforts.
The next delivery month, after July is the non active delivery month of August and here we lost 141 contracts to stand at 1021. The next active delivery month after August for silver is September and here the OI FELL by 52 contracts DOWN to 154,291
We had 54 notice(s) filed for 270,000 OZ for the JULY 2018 COMEX contract for silver
FROM LAST YEARS DATA, ON FIRST DATE NOTICE FOR THE JULY 2017 SILVER COMEX DELIVERY MONTH WE HAD 12.115 MILLION OZ OF SILVER STANDING FOR DELIVERY. AT MONTH’S END WE HAD 16.435 MILLION OZ EVENTUALLY STAND AS WE ALREADY HAD QUEUE JUMPING BEGIN IN EARNEST FROM APRIL 2017 ONWARD EVEN TO TODAY. SO WITH TODAY’S NUMBERS WE SURPASSED LAST YEAR’S LEVEL BY A WIDE MARGIN.
AND NOW COMPARISON VS AUGUST LAST YR:
ON FIRST DAY NOTICE JULY 31/2017: 1,965,000 OZ STOOD FOR DELIVERY
THE FINAL AMOUNT OF SILVER STANDING: AUGUST 30.2017: 6,245,000 OZ AS WE HAD CONSIDERABLE QUEUE JUMPING.
FOR THE AUGUST CONTRACT MONTH:
LAST YEAR AT THIS TIME JULY 26.2017 WE HAD 487 SILVER COMEX OI OUTSTANDING VS TODAY: 1021
SO, AS IN GOLD, WE ARE GOING TO HAVE A CONSIDERABLY LARGER AMOUNT OF SILVER STANDING FOR THE NON ACTIVE CONTRACT MONTH OF AUGUST THAN LAST YEAR.
INITIAL standings for JULY/GOLD
JULY 25/2018.
Gold | Ounces |
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory in oz | nil oz |
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory in oz |
nil OZ
|
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory in oz | NIL oz |
Deposits to the Customer Inventory, in oz |
nil oz
|
No of oz served (contracts) today |
0 notice(s)
NIL OZ
|
No of oz to be served (notices) |
136 contracts
(13,600 oz)
|
Total monthly oz gold served (contracts) so far this month |
99 notices
9900 OZ
.3079TONNES
|
Total accumulative withdrawals of gold from the Dealers inventory this month | NIL oz |
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Customer inventory this month | xxx oz |
For JULY:
Today, 0 notice(s) were issued from JPMorgan dealer account and 0 notices were issued from their client or customer account. The total of all issuance by all participants equates to 0 contract(s) of which 0 notices were stopped (received) by j.P. Morgan dealer and 0 notice(s) was (were) stopped/ Received) by j.P.Morgan customer account.
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To calculate the INITIAL total number of gold ounces standing for the JULY. contract month, we take the total number of notices filed so far for the month (99) x 100 oz or 9900 oz, to which we add the difference between the open interest for the front month of JULY. (136 contracts) minus the number of notices served upon today (0 x 100 oz per contract) equals 23,500 oz,(.7309 tonnes) the number of ounces standing in this non active month of JULY
Thus the INITIAL standings for gold for the JULY contract month:
No of notices served (99 x 100 oz) + {(136)OI for the front month minus the number of notices served upon today (0 x 100 oz )which equals 23,500 oz standing in this NON – active delivery month of JULY .
We lost 0 contracts or an additional NIL oz will stand for comex delivery
THERE ARE ONLY 7.4598 TONNES OF REGISTERED COMEX GOLD AVAILABLE FOR DELIVERY AGAINST 0.7309 TONNES STANDING FOR JULY
IN THE LAST 24 MONTHS 85 NET TONNES HAS LEFT THE COMEX.
end
And now for silver
AND NOW THE APRIL DELIVERY MONTH
JULY INITIAL standings/SILVER
Silver | Ounces |
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory | nil oz |
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory |
65,676.830 oz
BRINKS
Delaware
|
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory |
nil
oz
|
Deposits to the Customer Inventory |
nil OZ
|
No of oz served today (contracts) |
54
CONTRACT(S)
(270,000 OZ)
|
No of oz to be served (notices) |
236 contracts
(1,180,000 oz)
|
Total monthly oz silver served (contracts) | 5728 contracts
(28,640,000 oz) |
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Dealers inventory this month | NIL oz |
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Customer inventory this month |
we had 0 inventory movement at the dealer side of things
total dealer deposits: nil oz
total dealer withdrawals: nil oz
we had 0 deposit into the customer account
i) Into JPMorgan: nil oz
*** JPMorgan for most of 2017 and in 2018 has adding to its inventory almost every single day.
JPMorgan now has 143 million oz of total silver inventory or 51.0% of all official comex silver. (143 million/280 million)
ii) into everybody else: 0
total customer deposits today: nil oz
we had 2 withdrawals from the customer account;
i) Out of Brinks 63,676.640 oz
ii) Out of Delaware: 2000.19 oz
total withdrawals: 65,676.830 oz
we had 0 adjustments/
total dealer silver: 78.908 million
total dealer + customer silver: 280.741 million oz
The total number of notices filed today for the JULY. contract month is represented by 54 contract(s) FOR 270,000 oz. To calculate the number of silver ounces that will stand for delivery in JULY., we take the total number of notices filed for the month so far at 5728 x 5,000 oz = 28,640,000 oz to which we add the difference between the open interest for the front month of JULY. (290) and the number of notices served upon today (54 x 5000 oz) equals the number of ounces standing.
.
Thus the INITIAL standings for silver for the JULY/2018 contract month: 5728(notices served so far)x 5000 oz + OI for front month of JULY(290) -number of notices served upon today (54)x 5000 oz equals 29,820,000 oz of silver standing for the JULY contract month
WE GAINED 24 CONTRACTS OR AN ADDITIONAL 120,000 OZ WILL STAND AS THESE GUYS REFUSED TO
MORPH INTO LONDON BASED FORWARDS AND RECEIVE A FIAT SWEETENER FOR THEIR EFFORTS.
PLEASE NOTE THE FOLLOWING FOR COMPARISON PURPOSES:
THE INITIAL STANDING FOR SILVER AT THE COMEX JULY 2017: 12.115 MILLION OZ ALTHOUGH AT MONTH’S END: 16.435 MILLION OZ STOOD FOR DELIVERY. THIS COMPARES WITH TODAY’S INITIAL STANDING FOR SILVER OF 29.820 MILLION OZ.
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
ESTIMATED VOLUME FOR TODAY:61,100 CONTRACTS
CONFIRMED VOLUME FOR YESTERDAY: 76,157 CONTRACTS absolutely criminal
YESTERDAY’S CONFIRMED VOLUME OF 76,157 CONTRACTS EQUATES TO 380 million OZ OR 54.2% OF ANNUAL GLOBAL PRODUCTION OF SILVER
COMMODITY LAW SUGGESTS THAT OPEN INTEREST SHOULD NOT BE MORE THAN 3% OF ANNUAL GLOBAL PRODUCTION. THE CROOKS ARE SUPPLYING MASSIVE PAPER TRYING TO KEEP SILVER IN CHECK.
The record level of silver open interest is 234,787 contracts set on April 21./2017 with the price at that day at $18.42
The previous record was 224,540 contracts with the price at that time of $20.44
end
NPV for Sprott
1. Sprott silver fund (PSLV): NAV FALLS TO -3.1% (JULY 25/2018)
2. Sprott gold fund (PHYS): premium to NAV RISES TO -0.90% to NAV (JULY 25/2018 )
Note: Sprott silver trust back into NEGATIVE territory at -3.01%-/Sprott physical gold trust is back into NEGATIVE/
(courtesy Sprott/GATA)
3.SPROTT CEF.A FUND (FORMERLY CENTRAL FUND OF CANADA):
NAV 12.67/TRADING 12.26//DISCOUNT 3.31.
END
And now the Gold inventory at the GLD/
JULY 25/WITH GOLD UP $6.45; NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 802.55 TONNES
JULY 24/ WITH GOLD DOWN 10 CENTS: A HUGE DEPOSIT OF 4.42 TONNES INTO THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 802.55 TONNES
JULY 23/WITH GOLD DOWN $5.55: NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 798.13 TONNES
JULY 20/WITH GOLD UP $4.15 A HUGE DEPOSIT OF 4.12 TONNES OF GOLD INTO THE GLD.INVENTORY RESTS AT 798.13 TONNES
JULY 19./WITH GOLD DOWN $1.00: NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 794.01 TONNES
JULY 18/WITH GOLD UP 0.40: NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 794.01 TONNES
JULY 17/WITH GOLD DOWN $12.40, WE HAD A BIG WITHDRAWAL OF 1.18 TONNES FROM THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 794.01 TONNES
JULY 16/WITH GOLD DOWN $1.55/NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 795.19 TONNES
JULY 13/WITH GOLD DOWN $5.35 THE CROOKS RAID THE COOKIE JAR AGAIN TO THE TUNE OF 3.83 TONNES/INVENTORY RESTS AT 795.19 TONNES
JULY 12/WITH GOLD UP $2.30: NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 799.02 TONNES
JULY 11/WITH GOLD DOWN $10.75 THE CROOKS RAIDED THE COOKIE JAR AGAIN TO THE TUNE OF 1.75 TONNES/INVENTORY RESTS AT 799.02 TONNES
JULY 10/WITH GOLD DOWN $3.85: NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 800.77 TONNES
july 9/WITH GOLD UP $4.00/ANOTHER RAID ON THE GOLD COOKIE JAR: TWO WITHDRAWALS OF 1.18 TONNES THIS MORNING AND 1.47 TONNES THIS AFTERNOON/INVENTORY RESTS AT 800.77 TONNES
JULY 6/WITH GOLD DOWN $2.45: NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 803.42 TONNES
JULY 5/WITH GOLD UP ANOTHER $5.15, THE CROOKS RAIDED THE COOKIE JAR AGAIN TO THE TUNE OF 5.89 TONNES/INVENTORY RESTS AT 803.42 TONNES IN THE LAST 10 TRADING DAYS GLD HAS LOST A HUGE 25.34 TONNES WITH A LOSS OF ONLY $15.25 IN PRICE
July 3/WITH GOLD UP $11.15/THE CROOKS RAIDED THE GLD INVENTORY AGAIN TO THE TUNE OF 9.73 TONNES/INVENTORY RESTS AT 809.31 TONNES
JULY 2/WITH GOLD DOWN $12.15, THE CROOKS RAIDED THE GLD INVENTORY AGAIN BY 1.47 TONNES DOWN./INVENTORY RESTS AT 819.04 TONNES
JUNE 29/WITH GOLD UP $3.70/A WITHDRAWAL OF 1.18 TONNES OF GOLD FROM THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 820.51 TONNES
JUNE 28/WITH GOLD DOWN $5.15/NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 821.69 TONNES
June 27/WITH GOLD DOWN $3.60// TWO ENTRIES:/STRANGELY THE CROOKS RETURNED THE WITHDRAWAL OF 4.42 TONNES LAST NIGHT (THUS WE HAD A DEPOSIT OF 4.42 TONNES/INVENTORY RESTS AT 824.63 TONNES. /THEN LATE THIS AFTERNOON A WITHDRAWAL OF 2.94 TONNES
INVENTORY RESTS AT 821.69 TONNES/THIS VEHICLE IS AN OUTRIGHT FRAUD.
june 26/LATE LAST NIGHT, WITH GOLD DOWN $9.10 WE HAD A HUGE WITHDRAWAL OF 4.42 TONNES OF GOLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 820.21 TONES
JUNE 25/WITH GOLD DOWN $1.45/NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD.INVENTORY RESTS AT 824.63 TONNES
JUNE 22/WITH GOLD UP 25 CENTS TODAY, THE CROOKS WITHDREW A MASSIVE 4.13 TONNES OF GOLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 824.63 TONNES
JUNE 21/WITH GOLD DOWN $4.00/NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 828.76 TONNES
JUNE 20/WITH GOLD DOWN $3.55/NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 828.76 TONNES
JUNE 19/WITH GOLD DOWN $1.50/NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 828.76 TONES
JUNE 18/WITH GOLD UP $1.90/NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 828.76 TONNES
JUNE 15/WITH GOLD DOWN $28.90/NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 828.76 TONNES
JUNE 14/WITH GOLD UP $7.10/NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 828.76 TONNES/
JUNE 13/WITH GOLD UP $2.20/NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 828.76 TONNES
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JULY 25/2018/ Inventory rests tonight at 802.55 tonnes
*IN LAST 417 TRADING DAYS: 128,38 NET TONNES HAVE BEEN REMOVED FROM THE GLD
*LAST 367 TRADING DAYS: A NET 28,16 TONNES HAVE NOW BEEN ADDED INTO GLD INVENTORY.
end
Now the SLV Inventory/
JULY 25: WITH SILVER UP 8 CENTS TODAY: A SMALL CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/ A WITHDRAWAL OF 658,000 INVENTORY RESTS AT 328.304 MILLION OZ/
JULY 24/WITH SILVER UP 8 CENTS TODAY: NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 328.962 MILLION OZ/
JULY 23/WITH SILVER DOWN 11 CENTS/NO CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY INTO THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 328.962 MILLION OZ/
JULY 20/WITH SILVER UP 10 CENTS TODAY: A HUGE CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A DEPOSIT OF 1.411 MILLION OZ INTO THE SLV INVENTORY
INVENTORY RESTS AT 328.962 MILLION OZ
JULY 19/WITH SILVER DOWN 17 CENTS TODAY; A HUGE CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A DEPOSIT OF 752,000 OZ INTO THE SLV INVENTORY/INVENTORY RESTS AT 327.551 MILLION OZ/
JULY 18/WITH SILVER DOWN 3 CENTS TODAY: NO CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 326.799 MILLION OZ/
JULY 17/WITH SILVER DOWN 20 CENTS TODAY: A CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY A WITHDRAWAL OF 1.001 MILLION OZ FROM THE SLV: INVENTORY RESTS AT 326.799 MILLION OZ/
JULY 16/WITH SILVER FLAT TODAY, A HUGE CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A DEPOSIT OF 1.128 MILLION OZ//INVENTORY RESTS AT 327.880 MILLION OZ
JULY 13/WITH SILVER DOWN 16 CENTS TODAY/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 326.752 MILLION OZ.
JULY 12/WITH SILVER UP 12 CENTS TODAY: ANOTHER BIG CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A DEPOSIT OF 1.035 MILLION OZ/INVENTORY RESTS AT 326.752 MILLION OZ/
JULY 11/WITH SILVER DOWN 22 CENTS TODAY: ANOTHER HUGE CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A DEPOSIT OF 565,000/INVENTORY RESTS AT 325.717 MILLION OZ
JULY 10/WITH SILVER DOWN 3 CENTS TODAY: NO CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 325.151 MILLION OZ
july 9/WITH SILVER UP 5 CENTS: ANOTHER BIG CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A DEPOSIT OF 847,000 OZ ADDED TO INVENTORY/INVENTORY RESTS AT 825.151 MILLION OZ/
JULY 6/WITH SILVER DOWN 2 CENTS/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 324.305 MILLION OZ/
JULY 5/WITH SILVER UP 6 CENTS, A GOOD CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A DEPOSIT OF 470,000 OZ/INVENTORY RESTS AT 324.305 MILLION OZ/ FOR THE PAST 10 TRADING DAYS, SILVER INVENTORY HAS ADVANCED BY 4.945 MILLION OZ WITH A LOSS OF 33 CENTS/PLEASE COMPARE THIS WITH THE GLD.
JULY 3/WITH SILVER UP 17 CENTS, A HUGE DEPOSIT OF 1.37 MILLION OZ ADDED TO THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 323.835 MILLION OZ.
JULY 2/WITH SILVER DOWN 31 CENTS/A HUGE 2.070 MILLION OZ DEPOSIT AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 322.465 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 29/WITH SILVER UP 14 CENTS TODAY, NO CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS THIS WEEKEND AT 320.395 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 28/WITH SILVER DOWN 18 CENTS, THE CROOKS ADDED 1.035 MILLION OZ OF SILVER INTO THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 320.395 MILLION OZ
JUNE 27.2018/WITH SILVER DOWN 8 CENTS/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY/INVENTORY RESTS AT 819.360 MILLION OZ/
june 26./2018/WITH SILVER DOWN 8 CENTS, THE CROOKS WITHDREW THE DEPOSIT OF TWO DAYS AGO; 941,000 OZ OUT OF INVENTORY/INVENTORY RESTS AT 819.360 OZ
JUNE 25/WITH SILVER DOWN 12 CENTS/NO CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 320.301 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 22/WITH SILVER UP 12 CENTS TODAY,ANOTHER BIG CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV” A DEPOSIT OF 941,000 OZ INTO INVENTORY/INVENTORY RESTS THIS WEEKEND AT 320.301 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 21/WITH SILVER UP ONE CENT/ANOTHER CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/: A DEPOSIT OF 2.918 MILLION OZ/INVENTORY RESTS AT 319.360 MILLION OZ/ THUS FOR TWO STRAIGHT DAYS A TOTAL OF 5.26 MILLION OZ OF SILVER HAS BEEN ADDED WITH NO CHANGE IN PRICE.
JUNE 20/WITH SILVER DOWN ONE CENT/A HUGE CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY / A DEPOSIT OF 2.35 MILLION OZ/INVENTORY RESTS AT 316.442 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 19/2018/WITH SILVER DOWN 11 CENTS/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 314.090 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 18/WITH SILVER DOWN 6 CENTS TODAY/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY/INVENTORY RESTS AT 314.090 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 15/WITH SILVER DOWN 75 CENTS/A BIG CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV: A WITHDRAWAL OF 1.788 MILLION OZ//INVENTORY RESTS AT 314.090 MILLION OZ
JUNE 14/WITH SILVER UP 30 CENTS, THE CROOKS DECIDED THAT THEY NEEDED SILVER INVENTORY BADLY SO THEY RAID THE SLV OF 1.412 MILLION OZ/INVENTORY RESTS AT 315.878 MILLION OZ/
JUNE 13/WITH SILVER UP 11 CENTS TODAY/NO CHANGES IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 317.290 MILLION OZ/
JULY 25/2018:
Inventory 328.304 MILLION OZ
6 Month MM GOFO 1.86/ and libor 6 month duration 2.52
Indicative gold forward offer rate for a 6 month duration/calculation:
G0FO+ 1.86%
libor 2.52 FOR 6 MONTHS/
GOLD LENDING RATE: .66%
XXXXXXXX
12 Month MM GOFO
+ 2.81%
LIBOR FOR 12 MONTH DURATION: 2.40
GOFO = LIBOR – GOLD LENDING RATE
GOLD LENDING RATE = +.41
end
Major gold/silver trading /commentaries for WEDNESDAY
GOLDCORE/BLOG/MARK O’BYRNE.
Gold Production In South Africa Continues To Collapse – Plummets 85% From Peak In 1970 (VIDEO)
ANDREW MAGUIRE’S KINESIS WHICH IS A”BITCOIN’ BACKED 100% BY ALLOCATED GOLD AND SILVER
Andrew Maguire’s Kinesis money which is a “bitcoin” but backed 100% by allocated gold and silver is set to go.
it think it would be a great idea to look at this!
please read at: https://kinesis.money/#/
(Andrew Maguire)
|
Dear Harvey Organ,
Thank you for your participation in our webinar on June 7th with our host and CEO of Kinesis, Thomas Coughlin.
The response we received has been incredible, we appreciate you taking the time to join us and hope you found it to be beneficial.
Due to such a high influx of questions we received we were unable to have them all answered. Nevertheless, if there was anything which requires more clarification, or you have a query which needs to be rectified, we invite you to join our telegram group:
We apologize for the technical issues we incurred during the webinar which resulted in it running a little over schedule, we hope that the next one we host will run seamlessly.
A video has been put together and uploaded onto our YouTube channel which can be found here:
Please share and subscribe to our YouTube channel to be notified of all the latest videos as they become available.
The rapid growth that we are currently experiencing has been incredible and with your support, is only going to get better.
We are working behind the scenes very hard to create a better experience for everyone involved! Stay tuned in as we have many more announcements to be released in the upcoming days.
Kind Regards,
Kinesis Money
a:C/O ILS Fiduciaries (IOM) Limited, First Floor,Millennium House, Victoria Road, Douglas, Isle of Man IM2 4RW
|
The following is self explanatory
(courtesy GATA/Chris Powell and Harvey Organ)
GATA asks bank regulator to check risks of gold
futures maneuver
Submitted by cpowell on Sun, 2018-06-10 16:17. Section: Daily Dispatches
12:21p ET Sunday, June 10, 2018
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
GATA has appealed to the U.S. comptroller of the currency, who has regulatory authority over banks, to review financial risks certain banks may have incurred through derivatives in the monetary metals markets, particularly through the recent heavy use of the “exchange for physicals” mechanism of settling gold and silver futures contracts on the New York Commodities Exchange.
The appeal was made in a letter sent May 5 to the comptroller, Joseph M. Otting, whose office is part of the U.S. Treasury Department, by your secretary/treasurer and GATA futures market consultant Harvey Organ.
“Exchange for physical” settlements of futures contracts long were considered emergency procedures when a seller was not able to deliver metal from an exchange-approved warehouse and wanted to settle with delivery elsewhere. But now such settlements appear to constitute most gold and silver futures settlements on the Comex. It is a strange development that appears to have been necessitated by the increasing difficulties of central banking’s gold and silver price suppression policy.
GATA has received no acknowledgment of the letter. Its text is below and a PDF copy of it is here:
http://www.gata.org/files/ComptrollerOfCurrencyLetter.pdf
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
CPowell@GATA.org
* * *
May 5, 2018
Joseph M. Otting, Comptroller of the Currency
U.S. Treasury Department
400 7th Street, SW
Washington DC 20219
Dear Comptroller Otting:
Please let us bring to your attention financial risks to major banks involving their possibly unreported exposure to derivatives in the monetary metals markets.
In recent months gold and silver future contracts issued by U.S. banks on the New York Commodities Exchange have been moved off-exchange for delivery through a mechanism known as “exchange for physical” (EFP) contracts. Until recently use of this mechanism was considered an emergency procedure when a seller did not have access to metal for delivery through Comex warehouses. Now the mechanism seems to be in use for a large share of front-month contracts for which delivery is sought.
Here is an example that is happening at the Comex in the front active month of April for gold and the inactive delivery month of April for silver.
In gold, there were 229,436 EFP contracts for 713.64 tonnes, an average of 10,925 contracts and 1,092,500 ounces per trading day.
In silver, there were 77,150 EFP contracts for 385,750,000 ounces, an average of 3,673 contracts and 18,369,000 ounces per trading day.
London Bullion Market Association rules suggest that these contracts may not be reported to regulators. The LBMA’s bylaws say:
“Figures above exclude any contracts not subject to risk-based capital requirements, such as FX contracts with an original maturity of 14 days or less, futures contracts, written options, and basis swaps. Therefore, the total notional amount of derivatives by maturity will not add to the total derivatives figure in this table.”
We are told that these EFP contracts are transferred from the Comex to London as what are called “serial forwards” and their duration is always less than 14 days, which exempts them from being reported.
It is our understanding that in each quarter your office prepares a report detailing risk undertaken by the banks under the comptroller’s supervision.
These risks include derivatives undertaken by U.S. banks and other obligations that may cause a bank to fail. Our concern is that your office may not be aware of large unreported derivative exposure by banks.
Could you review this matter and let us know your conclusions?
Sincerely,
CHRIS POWELL
Secretary/Treasurer
HARVEY ORGAN
Consultant
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
7 Villa Louisa Road
Manchester, Connecticut 06043-7541
end
We have been highlighting this to you for the past month; there is a direct correlation between the yuan value and gold; the lower the yuan, the lower the price of gold and visa versa
(courtesy Craig Hemke/Sprott/GATA)
Craig Hemke at Sprott Money: Potential impacts
of the yuan-gold peg
Submitted by cpowell on Wed, 2018-07-25 01:12. Section: Daily Dispatches
9:14p ET Tuesday, July 24, 2018
Dear Friend of GATA and Gold:
Craig Hemke of the TF Metals Report, writing tonight at Sprott Money, says the recent tight correlation between Chinese yuan and gold prices indicates massive intervention in the gold market by China to keep commodity prices down as China devalues the yuan in its trade war with the United States.
The Chinese intervention, Hemke writes, implies not only a continued decline in the gold price but also a thrashing in the stock market.
Hemke’s analysis is headlined “Potential Impacts of the Yuan-Gold Peg” and it’s posted at Sprott Money here:
https://www.sprottmoney.com/Blog/potential-impacts-of-the-yuan-gold-peg-…
CHRIS POWELL, Secretary/Treasurer
Gold Anti-Trust Action Committee Inc.
CPowell@GATA.org
end
Nicholas to me on the huge amount of silver stored by jPMorgan. The big question is this: Is JPMorgan storing this silver for themselves or for a sovereign entity.
|
3:34 AM (4 hours ago) |
|||
|
LBMA data is available per month from July 2016 onwards | LBMA total loco London silver holdings | SLV holdings with JP Morgan as sole custodian. | Residual holdings of silver in loco London |
000 | 000 | 000 | |
Ounces | Ounces | Ounces | |
July 2016 | 951,433 | 349,720 | 601,713 |
Dec 2017 | 1,106,489 | 323,459 | 783,030 |
Jan 2018 | 1,108,613 | 313,896 | 794,717 |
Feb 2018 | 1,104,999 | 316,590 | 788,409 |
March 2018 | 1,086,259 | 320,395 | 765,864 |
Data from Harvey Organ | EFP gold | EFP silver | |
Tonnes | 000 Ounces | ||
Jan | 2018 | 653 | 236,879 |
Feb | 2018 | 649 | 244,950 |
March | 2018 | 742 | 236,670 |
April | 2018 | 714 | 385,750 |
May | 2018 | 694 | 210,055 |
June | 2018 | 651 | 345,430 |
Total EFPs | 4,103 | 1,659,734 | |
% of annual production (ex Russia /China) | 171% | 237% |
As of this morning, the 2018 YTD EFP transfers are stated at 1,816,280 (000 ounces).(These EFPs certainly do not involve any physical delivery from the LBMA vaults as the above table evidences).The vast OI on the Comex this morning is 1,078 million ounces,if that means anything at all.
Your early WEDNESDAY morning currency, Asian stock market results, important USA/Asian currency crosses, gold/silver pricing overnight along with the price of oil Major stories overnight/9 AM EST
i) Chinese yuan vs USA dollar/CLOSED UP TO 6.7640/HUGE DEVALUATION FOR THE PAST TWO WEEKS STOPS /shanghai bourse CLOSED DOWN 1.92 POINTS OR 0,07% /HANG SANG CLOSED UP 258.33 POINTS OR 0.90%
2. Nikkei closed UP 100.77 POINTS OR 0.46%/USA: YEN FALLS TO 111.08/
3. Europe stocks OPENED RED /
USA dollar index FALLS TO 94.50/Euro RISES TO 1.1694
3b Japan 10 year bond yield: FALLS TO . +.07/ !!!!(Japan buying 100% of bond issuance)/Japanese yen vs usa cross now at 111.08/ THIS IS TROUBLESOME AS BANK OF JAPAN IS RUNNING OUT OF BONDS TO BUY./JAPAN 10 YR YIELD IS NOW TARGETED AT .11%/JAPAN LOSING CONTROL OF THEIR BOND MARKET
3c Nikkei now JUST BELOW 17,000
3d USA/Yen rate now well below the important 120 barrier this morning
3e WTI:: 68.42 and Brent: 73.83
3f Gold UP/Yen UP
3g Japan is to buy the equivalent of 108 billion uSA dollars worth of bond per month or $1.3 trillion. Japan’s GDP equals 5 trillion usa./“HELICOPTER MONEY” OFF THE TABLE FOR NOW /REVERSE OPERATION TWIST ON THE BONDS: PURCHASE OF LONG BONDS AND SELLING THE SHORT END
Japan to buy 100% of all new Japanese debt and by 2018 they will have 25% of all Japanese debt. Fifty percent of Japanese budget financed with debt.
3h Oil UP for WTI and UP FOR Brent this morning
3i European bond buying continues to push yields lower on all fronts in the EMU. German 10yr bund RISES TO +.390%/Italian 10 yr bond yield UP to 2.65% /SPAIN 10 YR BOND YIELD DOWN TO 1.35%
3j Greek 10 year bond yield FALLS TO : 3.82
3k Gold at $1232.70 silver at:15.60 7 am est) SILVER NEXT RESISTANCE LEVEL AT $18.50
3l USA vs Russian rouble; (Russian rouble UP 39/100 in roubles/dollar) 62.24
3m oil into the 68 dollar handle for WTI and 73 handle for Brent/
3n Higher foreign deposits out of China sees huge risk of outflows and a currency depreciation. This can spell financial disaster for the rest of the world/
JAPAN ON JAN 29.2016 INITIATES NIRP. THIS MORNING THEY SIGNAL THEY MAY END NIRP. TODAY THE USA/YEN TRADES TO 111.08 DESTROYING JAPANESE CITIZENS WITH HIGHER FOOD INFLATION
30 SNB (Swiss National Bank) still intervening again in the markets driving down the SF. It is not working: USA/SF this morning 0.9915 as the Swiss Franc is still rising against most currencies. Euro vs SF is 1.1598 well above the floor set by the Swiss Finance Minister. Thomas Jordan, chief of the Swiss National Bank continues to purchase euros trying to lower value of the Swiss Franc.
3p BRITAIN VOTES AFFIRMATIVE BREXIT/LOWER PARLIAMENT APPROVES BREXIT COMMENCEMENT/ARTICLE 50 COMMENCES MARCH 29/2017
3r the 10 Year German bund now POSITIVE territory with the 10 year RISING to +0.40%
The bank withdrawals were causing massive hardship to the Greek bank. the Greek referendum voted overwhelming “NO”. Next step for Greece will be the recapitalization of the banks and that will be difficult.
4. USA 10 year treasury bond at 2.94% early this morning (THIS IS DEADLY TO ALL MARKETS). Thirty year rate at 3.07%
5. Details Ransquawk, Bloomberg, Deutsche bank/Jim Reid.
(courtesy Jim Reid/Bloomberg/Deutsche bank/zero hedge)
Global Rally Stalls, Dollar Slides As Attention
Turns To Trade
A three-day global stock rally stalled on Wednesday, with Asia and Europe mixed, as investors digested the latest set of earning while waiting for the outcome of a meeting between President Donald Trump and the EU Jean-Claude Juncker to see where the global trade war was heading next. Nasdaq futures pointed to a slightly firmer open, while S&P 500 futures were flat.
Europe’s Stoxx 600 Index fluctuated in a narrow range after a mixed bag of earnings from Deutsche Bank and Banco Santander. Earlier, Asian stocks inched higher after Wall Street had hit a five-month high, extending a month-long advance, though Shanghai stocks edged lower as positive sentiment spurred by Beijing’s willingness to support the Chinese economy showed signs of fading.
In some good news for China, the yuan eased off a 13-month low, with the onshore yuan rising by the most since July 9 as the dollar weakened which also soothed some nerves, while most major currencies, bond benchmarks and oil were tucked in tight ranges.
Markets struggled to build on Tuesday’s upbeat session as trade relations between the US and Europe returned to the fore. The meeting between Trump and Juncker, the man he once described as a “brutal killer” takes place after the U.S. president sent a Twitter message demanding both sides drop all tariffs, barriers and subsidies, before claiming the Europeans wouldn’t. The talks threaten to overshadow the steady stream of company earnings, with results due from the likes of General Motors and Facebook.
Earlier on Wednesday, EU trade commissioner Cecilia Malmstrom told a Swedish newspaper on Wednesday that the bloc was preparing to introduce tariffs on $20 billion of U.S. goods if Washington imposes levies on imported cars.
Separately. the latest monthly Ifo survey of German business confidence also showed some impact from the row, although there was no major plunge and traders in most markets seemed content to hold positions steady.
“We have seen a lot of complacency over this entire trade war so the question is, unless we see a very negative outcome (from the EU-U.S. meeting), are we going to see a marked reaction?” Rabobank strategist Bas Van Geffen said.
“It is an odd one where two key trade partners, but also two key allies, are now fighting each other.”
With another blizzard of multinational corporate earnings, a European Central Bank meeting and U.S. GDP figures still to come this week, there was plenty of scope for volatility.
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against a basket of six other major currencies was just off a two-week low at 94.506 and barely budged at $1.1692 against the euro and 111.24 yen.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which tends to act as the benchmark for global borrowing costs eased to 2.937 percent, after climbing to a six-week peak of 2.973 percent overnight. Bond yields were pushed up this week on speculation the Bank of Japan is edging closer to unwinding its aggressive stimulus program.
In commodities, Brent crude fut were up 0.6 percent at $73.89 a barrel, adding to the previous day’s gains as market focus shifted away from oversupply concerns to the possibility of increasing Chinese demand. Copper on the London Metal Exchange (LME) traded down at $6,264 per tonne after soaring 2.7 percent overnight to a two-week peak of $6,328.00 on Chinese stimulus hopes. Iron ore on the Dalian Commodity Exchange touched a two-month peak of 479.5 yuan a tonne, while precious metal gold was a touch higher at 1,228 an ounce.
Expected data include mortgage applications and new-home sales. Boeing, Coca-Cola, Fiat Chrysler, GM, UPS, Facebook, Ford, Las Vegas Sands, Qualcomm and Visa are among companies reporting earnings.
Snapshot
- S&P 500 futures little changed at 2,819.00
- STOXX Europe 600 down 0.03% to 388.06
- MXAP up 0.3% to 167.48
- MXAPJ up 0.4% to 542.65
- Nikkei up 0.5% to 22,614.25
- Topix up 0.4% to 1,753.48
- Hang Seng Index up 0.9% to 28,920.90
- Shanghai Composite down 0.07% to 2,903.65
- Sensex up 0.2% to 36,915.13
- Australia S&P/ASX 200 down 0.3% to 6,247.65
- Kospi down 0.3% to 2,273.03
- German 10Y yield fell 1.0 bps to 0.387%
- Euro up 0.05% to $1.1693
- Italian 10Y yield rose 4.5 bps to 2.418%
- Spanish 10Y yield fell 1.6 bps to 1.355%
- .Brent futures up 1% to $74.14/bbl
- Gold spot up 0.5% to $1,230.61
- U.S. Dollar Index down 0.2% to 94.46
Top Overnight News from Bloomberg
- “The European Union is coming to Washington tomorrow to negotiate. a deal on Trade. I have an idea for them. Both the U.S. and the E.U. drop all Tariffs, Barriers and Subsidies!” President Trump says on Twitter. Earlier, he also took to Twitter to say “tariffs are the greatest” and any country that has treated the U.S. “unfairly” on trade would have to negotiate “a fair deal, or it gets hit with tariffs”
- Customs duties on imported cars considered by U.S. President Donald Trump would amount to an additional burden of around EU5b for German companies “in the first round alone,” Eric Schweitzer, president of the DIHK association of German trade chambers, told Passauer Neue Presse
- The world’s economy is starting to feel the bite from the tit-for-tat trade battle between the U.S. and China as well as the EU
- The U.K. published fresh plans to keep European financial firms operating in the U.K. in the event of a no-deal Brexit. The draft proposal would give firms from the European Economic Area — the EU plus Iceland, Liechtenstein and Norway – – as well as non-U.K. central counterparties the temporary recognition they’d require to continue operations
- Brexit turmoil is fueling a surge in currency trading in the world’s biggest FX centers. Turnover in the U.K. rose to a record $2.73 trillion a day in April, according to data from the Bank of England’s Foreign-Exchange Joint Standing Committee. That’s up 14 percent from a year earlier, and exceeds the previous record from October 2014
- As both China and the U.S. now hint at the possibility of restarting talks, Beijing is worried that it might get played again, according to three Chinese officials who asked not to be identified discussing strategy.
- Australia’s inflation remained subdued in the three months through June, suggesting the central bank’s interest-rate pause will enter a third year.
- Trump said that the U.S. and the European Union should drop all tariffs, barriers and subsidies, just hours before the bloc’s trade chiefs present him with proposals going a long way toward that outcome in a crunch meeting at the White House
- U.S. Secretary of State Michael Pompeo will find one of his rare appearances on Capitol Hill rough going Wednesday as he seeks to soothe the ire of senators exasperated by Trump’s strategy on everything from Russia and NATO to North Korea
- Ireland would back any request by the U.K. to stay in the EU after March 2019, Irish Foreign Minister Simon Coveney said, the first senior EU official to publicly raise the prospect of Brexit being delayed.
Asian stocks were mixed with macro drivers on the light side and after the region failed to sustain the momentum from the positive US close where earnings dominated focus. ASX 200 (-0.3%) was negative amid broad weakness across the index aside from the commodity-related sectors, while materials names and continued strength in Japanese banks kept the Nikkei 225 (+0.5%) afloat. Elsewhere, Hang Seng (+0.9%) and Shanghai Comp. (-0.1%) were varied as Hong Kong was led higher by oil names including Sinopec which expects its highest H1 profit since 2013 and with the mainland less decisive following a liquidity drain by the PBoC, while the KOSPI (-0.3%) was dampened on earnings including LG Display. Finally, 10yr JGBs gained overnight and broke above this week’s highs in a continuation of its recent rebound and with the BoJ present in the market for JPY 650bln of JGBs in the belly to super-long end, while reports also noted BoJ watchers viewed the central bank was unlikely to tighten policy before October and some even believed there were prospects of looser policy. BoJ is seen by experts as unlikely to tighten monetary policy before October despite speculation the bank may act at its upcoming meeting due to the impact of its ultra-loose policy, while reports also noted that some believe further easing is on table to support inflation.
Top Asian News
- Inside Tencent’s Gambit to Dominate a $13 Billion Esports Arena
- Laos Dam Failed After 24-Hour Fight to Avert Deadly Collapse
- China’s $9 Billion Plan to Boost 5G Undermined By Trade War
- Mahathir Pushes Back Against China for Better Economic Deals
- Pakistan Election Marred by Blast Near Polling Station, 22 Dead
European equities are relatively mixed (Eurostoxx 50 -0.2%) as focus remain on earning season. Tech names underperform amid weak earnings from STMicroelectronics (-3.5%) who currently rest at the foot of the CAC 40. France’s LMVH (+2.3%) rose to the top of the index post-earnings, dragging up the likes of Kering (+2.6%). Sweden’s S.E.B (+10%) shares received a boost from a guidance upgrade, while Ageas (5.0%) shares are lifted by reports Hong Kong’s Fosun is weighing a USD 10bln takeover of the company. A few US heavyweights are expected to report earnings today; Boeing (12.30 BST), UPS (12:45BST), Facebook, Visa and PayPal (21:05BST)
Top European News
- Russian Oil Getting Ready for Biggest Tax Overhaul in 20 Years
- Russian Chemical Giant Sibur Said to Mull IPO in Moscow, London
- EDF Raises Flamanville Cost Again as Plant Delayed by a Year.
In FX, there has been minimal movement in Dollar pairings, as the index continues to pivot around the 94.500 axis looking for more direction that might emanate from US-EU trade talks later rather than data in the form of new home sales. However, some signs of a shift in sentiment overnight and potential change in the recent trend of further Yuan depreciation post-PBoC Usd/Cny fixing, as both the on-shore and off-shore units hold above 6.8000. CAD/CHF/GBP/EUR – All mildly firmer vs the Usd, but rangebound, with the Loonie sitting near the base of a 1.3165-35 band, Franc at the low end of 0.9945-25 parameters and Cable holding above 1.3150 after an uptick in UK mortgage apps, and ahead of CBI trades. Meanwhile, not a lot of reaction to slightly better than anticipated German Ifo survey readings or Eurozone money supply from the single currency that is nestling just under 1.1700, and 0.8900 vs the Pound, with more focus on tomorrow’s ECB policy meeting and any further policy guidance (even though unlikely given QE and rate signals delivered only last month). JPY – Usd/Jpy meandering between 111.15-40 and still delicately poised around a 111.25 Fib, while latest reports on the end of month BoJ meeting suggest no change in policy likely until October, and in stark contract to sources perhaps even more easing rather than any hawkish tweak (per so called ‘experts’).EM – Aside from the aforementioned Cny and Cnh counter-moves, other EMs, including the Try, have recouped more losses vs the Greenback, with the Mxn aided by latest positive NAFTA noises to rebound further from 20.000 and through 19.000.
In commodities, WTI trades flat, straddling just above USD 68.50/bbl, whilst Brent eyes USD 74.00/bbl to the upside. Last night’s API Crude inventories printed a larger than expected drawdown (-3.160M vs. Exp. -2.300M), tempering oversupply concerns that have weighed on markets recently. Of note, an IMF report commented on the steep inflation rise in Venezuela (while sanction risks remain), which has subsequently limited its ability to boost oil output. (Of note: Venezuelan oil production fell to a new 30-year low of 1.5mln BPD in June). Traders will be watching today’s DoE Crude inventories which are expected to show a draw of 2.331M barrels.
Gold (+0.3%) gradually crawls higher as USD strength eases. Copper is flat while traders are eyeing the latest developments at the world’s largest copper mine, BHP’s Escondida in Chile. The Anglo-Australian miner had made its final offer with the union regarding an increase in wages, markets await further updates.
US Event Calendar
- 7am: MBA Mortgage Applications, prior -2.5%
- 10am: New Home Sales, est. 668,000, prior 689,000
- 10am: New Home Sales MoM, est. -3.05%, prior 6.7%
DB’s Craig Nicol concludes the overnight wrap
On a fairly quiet day for headlines yesterday, one story really stood out. According to the IMF, Venezuela’s inflation rate is expected to hit 1,000,000% by the end of this year, a situation only really comparable to Germany in the 1920s and Zimbabwe in the 2000s. It was only back in April that the IMF predicted inflation of ‘just’ 13,000% for Venezuela this year, which now looks tame by comparison. Instead their new forecast implies prices rising by about 3.9% a day. Quite unbelievable.
There weren’t quite the same eye-opening moves in markets yesterday but it was for the most part still a fairly decent day for risk despite a bit of a fade in the latter half of the US session. The news about China loosening the fiscal purse strings and another solid day for corporate earnings appeared to be the catalysts while the PMIs in Europe and the US were a bit more mixed but the details did throw up some interesting takeaways. More on that below.
In terms of the market moves firstly, the S&P 500 (+0.48%) and DOW (+0.78%) both closed higher last night after bourses in Europe (Stoxx 600 +0.86%) also rose sharply. The NASDAQ (-0.01%) did at one stage clock a new record high intraday, supported by Alphabet’s results, but faded to close ever so slightly lower on the day. To better illustrate the earnings picture, a total of 23 S&P 0500 companies reported yesterday and 19 beat both revenue and earnings
expectations. Only one company missed on both and it means that we’re now running at 106 out of 116 companies beating earnings expectations and 88 out of 116 beating revenue expectations. UBS also posted better than expected results in Europe which contributed to a +2.23% rally for the Stoxx Banks index – the biggest one-day gain since June 11th.
How markets continue to trade today might depend on what we get from President Trump’s meeting with European Commissio.n President Juncker and EU Trade Commissioner Malmstrom in Washington. Warming up for the meeting President Trump tweeted yesterday that “Tariffs are the greatest! Either a country which has treated the United States unfairly on trade negotiates a fair deal, or it gets hit with Tariffs”. Overnight he also tweeted that “The European Union is coming to Washington tomorrow to negotiate a deal on Trade. I have an idea for them. Both the US and EU drop all Tariffs, Barriers and Subsidies! That would finally be called Free Market and Fair Trade! Hope they do it, we are ready – but they won’t”.
Juncker goes to the meeting aiming to compromise on Trump’s auto tariff threat,0 although the FT pointed out that it may not be that easy to achieve tangible progress. For example a plurilateral tariff cutting deal involving the world’s biggest vehicle producers may also require approval from China as it’s a big manufacturer of car parts or concessions from the US on its the existing 25% duty on light trucks. Conversely a bilateral deal between the EU and US may also involve changes that the two sides are hesitant to make, such as opening up more of .the agriculture market in the EU. So it should be interesting. On a related note, Reuters has reported that the US administration will provide around $12bn of relief aid to US farmers to partly offset the flow on impacts from the trade conflict with China/EU.
Coming back to the PMIs, in Europe the flash July composite for the Eurozone .printed at 54.3 which was half a point below the consensus and a drop of 0.6pts .rom June. Driving the fall was the services reading which fell 0.8pts to 54.4 (vs. .55.1 expected). In contrast the manufacturing reading (55.1 vs. 54.7 expected)0 rose 0.2pts and for the first time this year, although it’s worth flagging that new export orders did fall to the lowest since August 2016. The data for the core countries was also fairly mixed with Germany surprising to the upside (55.2 vs. 54.8 expected) after the manufacturing reading came in at an impressive 1.4pts higher compared to June, while France’s composite fell 0.5pts to 54.5 (vs. 54.9 expected). Our economists in Europe flagged that the data implies around a 1.5pt. fall for the data in the non-core but that the broader Eurozone composite is at levels still consistent with +0.5% qoq GDP growth in the region.
Meanwhile in the US the composite PMI nudged down 0.3pts to 55.9 primarily as a result of a 0.3pt fall in the services reading to 56.2 (vs. 56.3 expected). The manufacturing PMI actually unexpectedly rose 0.1pts to 55.5 (vs. 55.1 expected). It’s worth noting that the US release included more references to pricing pressure with output prices rising 1.4pts to 56.4 and the highest since the series began in 2009. The associated statement noted that “robust input cost inflation persisted across the private sector in July, which was attributed to increased fuel bills, higher staff salaries and rising raw material prices”. The statement also made an unsurprising reference to tariffs, stating that “Trade frictions have clearly become a major cause of concern, especially among manufacturers. Firms have become increasingly worried about the impact of tariffs and trade wars on demand, prices and supply chains”.
Speaking of rising prices, here in the UK yesterday the government announced that around 1 million public sector workers will receive a pay rise. This follows last year’s decision to lift the 1% cap on public sector pay rises and the delayed response to that should finally start to feed through into the data from now .on (it’s likely that the pay rises are backdated to April). Meanwhile the latest Brexit announcement was that PM May was to take control of Brexit talks. DB’s Oliver Harvey made the point that May has now made official what has been the practical case for some time however, that is the cabinet office is leading negotiations with the Brexit department deputizing. Markets were fairly nonmoved post the news with Sterling spending most of the day gently rising versus the Dollar.
In terms of the remaining data from yesterday. In the US, the July Richmond Fed index was above market at 20 (vs. 18 expected) and pointed to further inflation pressures. In the details, the new orders index was steady mom at 22 while the prices paid and prices received index rose 3.5% and 2.2% yoy respectively, with the latter at the highest since December 2012. Back in the UK, the July CBI trends total orders index eased 2pts mom to an above market print of 11 (vs. 8 expected). Meanwhile the CBI noted that unit costs in the UK manufacturing industry grew at the fastest pace in one year for the three months to July, while also flagging that inflation pressures are expected to ease “only marginally” over the next quarter. Finally the July ECB bank lending survey showed that bank credit standards have eased for corporate, mortgage and consumer loans in Q2, while lending demand rose for these three categories. Looking ahead to Q3, lenders expect rising loan demand and further net easing in bank credit standards for all of the loan categories.
Looking at the day ahead, in Europe we’ll get June PPI for France along with the July IFO survey for Germany, July CBI retailing reported sales in the UK and M3 money supply data for the Euro area for June. In the US, June new home sales is the only data due out. Away from the data, as noted earlier European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker and the EU trade chief Cecilia Malmstrom will meet with US President Donald Trump to discuss averting a new round of U.S. tariffs on European car imports. Finally key earnings releases for the day include Coca-Cola, General Motors, Facebook and Boeing.
3. ASIAN AFFAIRS
i)WEDNESDAY MORNING/TUESDAY NIGHT: Shanghai closed DOWN 1.92 POINTS OR 0.07% /Hang Sang CLOSED UP 258.33 POINTS OR 0.90%/ / The Nikkei closed UP 100.77 POINTS OR 0.46%/Australia’s all ordinaires CLOSED DOWN 0.21% /Chinese yuan (ONSHORE) closed UP at 6.7640 AS POBC STOPS ITS HUGE DEVALUATION /Oil UP to 68.42 dollars per barrel for WTI and 73.83 for Brent. Stocks in Europe OPENED RED//. ONSHORE YUAN CLOSED UP AT 6.7640 AGAINST THE DOLLAR. OFFSHORE YUAN CLOSED DOWN ON THE DOLLAR AT 6.7749: HUGE DEVALUATION/PAST SEVERAL DAYS STOPS : /ONSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST OFFSHORE YUAN/ONSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST USA DOLLAR/OFFSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST THE DOLLAR /CHINA RETALIATES WITH TARIFFS/ TRUMP RESPONDS TO NEW TARIFFS AND IT NOW A FULL TRADE WAR COMMENCED
3 a NORTH KOREA/USA
North Korea/South Korea/USA/China
3 b JAPAN AFFAIRS
c) REPORT ON CHINA/HONG KONG
4. EUROPEAN AFFAIRS
Germany/Deutsche bank
The bank’s most important trading sector, fixed income from currency and commodities and its most profitable sector, tumbled 17% in the second quarter and that sent its stock lower this morning
(courtesy zerohedge)
6 .GLOBAL ISSUES
Canada, Mexico and the USA
Fitch states that the trade war will affect global GDP by .4% and hurt Canada, USA and Mexico the most
(courtesy zerohedge)
8. EMERGING MARKET
VENEZUELA
Your early morning currency/gold and silver pricing/Asian and European bourse movements/ and interest rate settings WEDNESDAY morning 7:00 am
Euro/USA 1.1694 UP .0009/ REACTING TO MERKEL’S FAILED COALITION/ REACTING TO +GERMAN ELECTION WHERE ALT RIGHT PARTY ENTERS THE BUNDESTAG/ huge Deutsche bank problems + USA election:///ITALIAN CHAOS /AND NOW ECB TAPERING BOND PURCHASES/JAPAN TAPERING BOND PURCHASES /USA RISING INTEREST RATES /FLOODING/EUROPE BOURSES ALL RED
USA/JAPAN YEN 111.08 DOWN 0.240 (Abe’s new negative interest rate (NIRP), a total DISASTER/NOW TARGETS INTEREST RATE AT .11% AS IT WILL BUY UNLIMITED BONDS TO GETS TO THAT LEVEL
GBP/USA 1.3126 UP 0.0009 (Brexit March 29/ 2017/ARTICLE 50 SIGNED/BREXIT FEES WILL BE CAPPED
USA/CAN 1.3126 DOWN .0026 (CANADA WORRIED ABOUT TRADE WITH THE USA WITH TRUMP ELECTION/ITALIAN EXIT AND GREXIT FROM EU/(TRUMP INITIATES LUMBER TARIFFS ON CANADA/CANADA HAS A HUGE HOUSEHOLD DEBT/GDP PROBLEM)
Early THIS WEDNESDAY morning in Europe, the Euro ROSE by 9 basis points, trading now ABOVE the important 1.08 level RISING to 1.1694; / Last night Shanghai composite CLOSED DOWN 1.92 POINTS OR 0.07% /Hang Sang CLOSED UP 258.33 POINTS OR 0.90% /AUSTRALIA CLOSED DOWN 0.21% / EUROPEAN BOURSES ALL RED
The NIKKEI: this WEDNESDAY morning CLOSED UP 100.77 POINTS OR 0.46%
Trading from Europe and Asia
1/EUROPE OPENED ALL RED
2/ CHINESE BOURSES / :Hang Sang UP 258.33 POINTS OR 0.90% / SHANGHAI CLOSED DOWN 1.92 POINTS OR 0.07%
Australia BOURSE CLOSED DOWN 0.21%
Nikkei (Japan) CLOSED UP 100.77 POINTS OR 0.46%
INDIA’S SENSEX IN THE RED
Gold very early morning trading: 1231.30
silver:$15.57
Early WEDNESDAY morning USA 10 year bond yield: 2.94% !!! DOWN 1 IN POINTS from TUESDAY night in basis points and it is trading WELL ABOVE resistance at 2.27-2.32%. (POLICY FED ERROR)/
The 30 yr bond yield 3.07 DOWN 2 IN BASIS POINTS from TUESDAY night. (POLICY FED ERROR)/
USA dollar index early WEDNESDAY morning: 94.50 DOWN 11 CENT(S) from TUESDAY’s close.
This ends early morning numbers WEDNESDAY MORNING
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And now your closing WEDNESDAY NUMBERS \1: 00 PM
Portuguese 10 year bond yield: 1.733% DOWN 5 in basis point(s) yield from TUESDAY/
JAPANESE BOND YIELD: +.074% DOWN 1 FULL POINT in basis points yield from TUESDAY/JAPAN losing control of its yield curve/
SPANISH 10 YR BOND YIELD: 1.351% DOWN 2 IN basis point yield from TUESDAY/
ITALIAN 10 YR BOND YIELD: 2.678 DOWN 1 POINT in basis point yield from TUESDAY/
the Italian 10 yr bond yield is trading 133 points HIGHER than Spain.
GERMAN 10 YR BOND YIELD: FALLS TO +.396% IN BASIS POINTS ON THE DAY
END
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IMPORTANT CURRENCY CLOSES FOR WEDNESDAY
Closing currency crosses for WEDNESDAY night/USA DOLLAR INDEX/USA 10 YR BOND YIELD/1:00 PM
Euro/USA 1.1677 DOWN .0007(Euro DOWN 7 Basis points/ represents to DRAGHI A COMPLETE POLICY FAILURE/
USA/Japan: 111.00 DOWN 0.269 Yen UP 27 basis points/
Great Britain/USA 1.3107 DOWN .0045( POUND DOWN 45 BASIS POINTS)
USA/Canada 1.3107 DOWN 45 Canadian dollar UP 45 Basis points AS OIL ROSE TO $69.25
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This afternoon, the Euro was DOWN 7 to trade at 1.1677
The Yen ROSE to 111.00 for a GAIN of 27 Basis points as NIRP is STILL a big failure for the Japanese central bank/HELICOPTER MONEY IS NOW DELAYED/BANK OF JAPAN NOW WORRIED AS AS THEY ARE RUNNING OUT OF BONDS TO BUY AS BOND YIELDS RISE
The POUND LOST 2 basis points, trading at 1.3146/
The Canadian dollar GAINED 45 basis points to 1.3107./ WITH WTI OIL RISING TO 69.25
The USA/Yuan closed AT 6.7690 ON SHORE
THE USA/YUAN OFFSHORE: 6.7747
the 10 yr Japanese bond yield closed at +.074% DOWN 10 IN BASIS POINTS /1 FULL POINT
Your closing 10 yr USA bond yield DOWN3 IN basis points from TUESDAY at 2.934 % //trading well ABOVE the resistance level of 2.27-2.32%) very problematic USA 30 yr bond yield: 3.06 DOWN 3 in basis points on the day /
THE RISE IN BOTH THE 10 YR AND THE 30 YR ARE VERY PROBLEMATIC FOR VALUATIONS
Your closing USA dollar index, 94.56 DOWN 5 CENT(S) ON THE DAY/1.00 PM/
Your closing bourses for Europe and the Dow along with the USA dollar index closing and interest rates for WEDNESDAY: 1:00 PM
London: CLOSED DOWN 50.79 POINTS OR 0.66%
German Dax :CLOSED DOWN 110.06 OR 0.87%
Paris Cac CLOSED DOWN 7.78 POINTS OR 0.14%
Spain IBEX CLOSED DOWN 70.00 POINTS OR 0.72%
Italian MIB: CLOSED DOWN 313,23 POINTS OR 1.43%
The Dow closed UP 103.77 POINTS OR 0.46%
NASDAQ closed UP 91.47 points or 1.17% 4.00 PM EST
WTI Oil price; 69;25 1:00 pm;
Brent Oil: 74.23 1:00 EST
USA /RUSSIAN ROUBLE CROSS: 63.02 DOWN 31/100 ROUBLES/DOLLAR (ROUBLE HIGHER BY 31 BASIS PTS)
TODAY THE GERMAN YIELD FALLS TO +.396% FOR THE 10 YR BOND 1.00 PM EST EST
END
This ends the stock indices, oil price, currency crosses and interest rate closes for today 4:30 PM
Closing Price for Oil, 4:00 pm/and 10 year USA interest rate:
WTI CRUDE OIL PRICE 4:30 PM:$69.31
BRENT: $74.03
USA 10 YR BOND YIELD: 2.97% the dropping yields signify markets are in turmoil
USA 30 YR BOND YIELD: 3.10%/
EURO/USA DOLLAR CROSS: 1.1731 UP .0047 ( UP 47 BASIS POINTS)
USA/JAPANESE YEN:110.95 DOWN 0.335 (YEN UP 34 BASIS POINTS/ .
USA DOLLAR INDEX: 94.16 DOWN 45 cent(s)/
The British pound at 5 pm: Great Britain Pound/USA: 1.3193 UP 44 POINTS FROM YESTERDAY
Canadian dollar: 1.3035 UP 113 BASIS pts
USA/CHINESE YUAN (CNY) : 6.7697 (ONSHORE)
USA/CHINESE YUAN(CNH): 6.7573 (OFFSHORE)
German 10 yr bond yield at 5 pm: ,0.396%
VOLATILITY INDEX: 12.29 CLOSED DOWN 0.12
LIBOR 3 MONTH DURATION: 2.335% .
And now your more important USA stories which will influence the price of gold/silver
TRADING IN GRAPH FORM FOR THE DAY
The Art of The Deal Sends Stocks Soaring
Trump wins… again…
China was dead flat overnight…
DAX was weak following headlines around 25% auto tariffs…
While Trannies led the day, Nasdaq did its best to show that everything is still awesome…and then EU trade concesssions deal headlines sent traders into a buying panic, sending US stocks soaring…
The S&P 500 surged up towards January’s highs…
The Dow ripped to its highest since early March…
Facebook was the big driver for Nasdaq (ahead of earnings)…
VIX tumbled back to an 11 handle.
And FANG Stocks loved it…
US Auto stocks tumbled to 13-month lows (before bouncing after some senators unveiled an auto tariff delay bill and concessions from EU)…
Homebuilder stocks tumbled after yet more dismal data…
A Stellar 5Y auction provided more support for bonds which were also bid on the day but traded in a very narrow range… (chart below includes Friday’s spike for context)
In the last few minutes of the day, EU concession headlines sparked selling in bonds…
The yield curve continued yesterday’s flattening…
The dollar extended its losses post-Trump to two-week lows…
Euro rallied on the EU concessions headlines…
The Yuan had its best day in 4 months, closing back above the Yuan fix for the first time in weeks…
Emerging Market FX had its best day in July, rising to its highest close in 6 weeks…
Cryptos weakened broadly on the day, but remain positive on the week..
And Bitcoin is holding above $8000…
Commodities were broadly higher with Copper (more china easing) and crude (inventories) leading the way…
Copper is back at 3-week highs (amazing what a bit of China easing will do)…
Crude found resistance at 2-week highs but closed green after a bigger than expected draw…
Market trading /GOLD/MARKET MOVERS:
the dollar continues to sink after Trump initially scolded the Fed for raising rates. The IMF latest warnings seem to agree with Trump that the dollar is overvalued and the yuan, Euro undervalued
(courtesy zerohedge)
Dollar Sinks To 2-Week Lows After Trump, IMF Warnings
In the week since President Trump decried the strength of the dollar and lambasted China, Europe for manipulating their currencies, the dollar has tumbled to 2-week lows and China’s currency has seen a sudden dramatic shift.
Having said on July 20th that “China, the European Union and others have been manipulating their currencies and interest rates lower, while the U.S. is raising rates while the dollars gets stronger and stronger with each passing day – taking away our big competitive edge. As usual, not a level playing field…” the dollar has slumped…
At the same time, The IMF released a lengthy 150-page report, thatappeared to support Trump’s claim that Europe has been able to ‘win’ on trade in part because of an undervalued currency.
As Bloomberg reports, the chart below shows Germany’s real-effective exchange rate is weaker than implied by economic fundamentals, with a corresponding outsized current-account surplus. On the flipside, the greenback is stronger than it should be, which contributes to a swelling of the U.S. current-account deficit, suggest staff calculations at the policy lender.
In other words, there may be some truth to the claim trade-weighted currency levels adjusted for inflation are distorted in Germany as well as the U.S.
While the Euro (DEU) is the most under-valued, we note that in the last few days, the Chinese Yuan has seen its collapse stall…
And in fact is now trading the most above its official fix since early May, a very different regime than the last few weeks…
So is Trump winning again? We will see more today after Trump’s meeting with Juncker, where the ‘strong dollar, weak Euro’ is bound to come up.
“The euro is undervalued and the dollar, correspondingly, is one of the most overvalued currencies,” Kit Juckes, strategist at Societe Generale, wrote in a note.
“I wonder if that will come up in the trade conversations today?”
USDJPY, Stocks Slide: BOJ To Review Stock Purchases
After The Bank of Japan sparked a short-term meltdown in global bond markets earlier in the week when it shifted its curve control policy, Nikkei is reporting that Bank of Japan will discuss allocation change in next policy meeting. USDJPY and NKY Futs are down…
As Nikkei reports, BOJ may purchase more ETFs tied to TOPIX and less ETFs tied to Nikkei indices. The review is intended at curbing the excessive impact in pricing of member stocks.
As a reminder, Kuroda’s central bank already owns a stunning 75% of all Japanese ETFs as the central bank keeps buying stocks under its ultraloose monetary policy.
Then a month ago, we reported that the Japanese central bank has also become a major shareholder in nearly 40% of listed companies. According to Nikkei calculations, the bank was one of the top 10 shareholders in 1,446 listed companies out of 3,735 at the end of March.
This means that just over the past year, when the BOJ was a major owner of 833 stocks, the BOJ’s equity holdings have expanded by a staggering 70%. In addition, the Central Bank bank is now the top shareholder in Tokyo Dome, Sapporo Holdings, Unitika, Nippon Sheet Glass and Aeon.
Finally, the central banks now also owns record 41.8% of all Japanese bonds, an amount roughly equivalent to Japan’s entire GDP.
So once again BoJ hits a wall with its market interference. As a reminder, BOJ is a Top 10 holder of over 40% of Japanese stocks.
end
USA senators introduce a bipartisan bill to delay auto tariffs. The Cdn dollar receives the most benefit on this.
(courtesy zerohedge)
Loonie Spikes To 6-Week Highs As US Senate Unveils Bill To Delay Auto Tariffs
Stocks are higher and the Loonie is spiking after Bloomberg reports that US Senators introduce a bipartisan bill to delay auto tariffs.
As Bloomberg reports, Democratic Sen. Doug Jones and Republican Lamar Alexander today introduced the “Automotive Jobs Act of 2018,” a bipartisan bill that would delay President Trump’s recently proposed 25% tariff on imported cars, trucks and auto parts, according to e-mailed statement.
Legislation would require International Trade Commission study of U.S. auto industry, a report to Congress with policy recommendations and would block such tariffs from being applied until that report is issued.
CAD rallied most….
The peso jumped…
US Stocks limped higher… (with Facebook continuing to lead the pack ahead of earnings).
The graphic below, via Bloomberg shows why the Loonie is gaining as it exposes which nations lead in producing various components of American passenger cars, from bumpers to steering wheels.
As Bloomberg reminds us, however, Trump, of course, has veto power… so this could potential set up an interesting showdown
Market DATA
First we witnessed existing home sales plummet and today, perhaps the most important component of the housing sector: new home sales, also tumbled to a 8 month low. However this occurred despite a plunging price..Seems that the economy stopped on a dime..
(courtesy zerohedge)
USA ECONOMIC /GENERAL STORIES
And Trump wins again;
(courtesy zerohedge)
We Have A Deal: Watch As Trump And Juncker
Reveal Agreement To Avert A Trade War
Press Conference Live:
Key soundbites from the press conference:
- TRUMP: WE AGREED TO WORK TOGETHER TOWARD ZERO TARIFFS ON INDUSTRIAL GOODS
- TRUMP: EU WILL INCREASE PURCHASES OF U.S. SOYBEANS
- TRUMP: DEAL MADE TO STRENGTHEN STRATEGIC ENERGY COOPERATION
- TRUMP: DEAL FOR CLOSE DIALOGUE ON REDUCING TRADE BUREAUCRACY
- TRUMP SAYS U.S., EU TO WORK TOGETHER TO `REFORM’ THE WTO
- TRUMP: WE WON’T GO AGAINST SPIRIT OF DEAL WHILE TALKS ONGOING
It appears that Europe is no longer part of the resistance.
* * *
There was much pessimism going into today’s meeting between US President Trump and EU Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker that any deal could be announced.
In fact, according to an analysis released earlier today by SGH Macro Advisors, hopes of anything tangible being announced are slim to none, as EU officials were dampening expectations right ahead of the widely anticipated summit over auto and trade tariffs between Trump and Juncker.
From what we understand, the EU is not coming with any “substantial offer” to Washington, but rather with some broad proposals intended to keep a dialogue alive and to avoid further escalation. EU officials are concerned about the raising of expectations last week by National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow, and they see his comments to some extent as “bullying tactics” to pressure them into concessions in the negotiations.
And yet, according to Dow Jones and Reuters, Trump has managed to secure concessions to avoid a trade war, including agreeing to import more soybeans and lowering industrial tariffs as well as working more on LNG exports.
President Trump has secured concessions from Europe to avoid a trade war, with Europe agreeing to the following (per Dow jones):
- Europeans agreed to work on more U.S. LNG exports
- Europeans agree on lowering industrial tariffs
- EU agrees to align regulator standards on medical products
- EU agrees to import more U.S. soybeans
It was not immediately clear if auto tariffs are also included in the agreements, but stocks are surging on the news, and the January all time highs are now in sight:
As Bloomberg notes, while it’s reasonable to wonder what the actual impact of European concessions might be, the knee-jerk reaction of markets is probably understandable.
Watch the press conference live below:
Mish outlines how the tariff backlash could cost the Republicans the Senate.
(courtesy Mish Shedlock)
SWAMP STORIES
A nothing burger..CNN leaks a confidential Trump-Cohen recording where Trump talks about setting up a corporation to pay McDougal. When you use a corporation, then you do not use cash..
(courtesy zerohedge)
WE WILL SEE YOU ON THURSDAY NIGHT.
HARVEY
wouldn’t exactly call the concessions from Europe huge — they “may” down the road buy some LNG (which costs 25% more than their current supplier so wouldn’t hold my breath)…..and they will buy “some soybeans”…..meanwhile no tariff slapped on the cars…..
this is more smoke and mirrors from the “great” dealmaker Trump — if you were from NYC, Harvey, you’d know how to look thru this nonsense from Trump.
He’s all hat and no cattle 99% of the time.
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