GOLD: $1288.50 DOWN $1.45 (COMEX TO COMEX CLOSINGS)
Silver: $15.60 DOWN 4 CENTS (COMEX TO COMEX CLOSING)
Closing access prices:
Gold : 1289.40
silver: $15.60
For comex gold and silver:
JANUARY
NUMBER OF NOTICES FILED TODAY FOR JAN CONTRACT: 5 NOTICE(S) FOR 500 OZ (0.0155 tonnes)
TOTAL NUMBER OF NOTICES FILED SO FAR: 538 NOTICES FOR 53800 OZ (1.6734 TONNES)
SILVER
FOR JANUARY
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
22 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR 110,000 OZ/
total number of notices filed so far this month: 637 for 3,185,000
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Bitcoin: OPENING MORNING TRADE $3612: DOWN 13
Bitcoin: FINAL EVENING TRADE: $3534 DOWN $90
end
XXXX
JPMorgan or Goldman Sachs are taking a huge issuance (stopping) of gold at the comex.
today 4/5
DLV615-T CME CLEARING
BUSINESS DATE: 01/14/2019 DAILY DELIVERY NOTICES RUN DATE: 01/14/2019
PRODUCT GROUP: METALS RUN TIME: 20:14:08
EXCHANGE: COMEX
CONTRACT: JANUARY 2019 COMEX 100 GOLD FUTURES
SETTLEMENT: 1,289.100000000 USD
INTENT DATE: 01/14/2019 DELIVERY DATE: 01/16/2019
FIRM ORG FIRM NAME ISSUED STOPPED
____________________________________________________________________________________________
661 C JP MORGAN 4
737 C ADVANTAGE 5 1
____________________________________________________________________________________________
TOTAL: 5 5
MONTH TO DATE: 538
Let us have a look at the data for today
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In silver, the total OPEN INTEREST ROSE BY AN GOOD SIZED 1433 CONTRACTS FROM 189,936 UP TO 191,369 WITH YESTERDAY’S 1 CENT RISE IN SILVER PRICING AT THE COMEX. TODAY WE ARRIVED SLIGHTLY CLOSER TO AUGUST’S RECORD SETTING OPEN INTEREST OF 244,196 CONTRACTS.
WE HAVE ALSO WITNESSED A LARGE AMOUNT OF PHYSICAL METAL STAND FOR COMEX DELIVERY AS WE NOW HAVE JUST LESS THAN 22 MILLION OZ STANDING IN DECEMBER. AS WELL WE ARE WITNESSING CONSIDERABLE LONGS PACKING THEIR BAGS AND MIGRATING OVER TO LONDON IN GREATER NUMBERS IN THE FORM OF EFP’S. WE WERE NOTIFIED THAT WE HAD A TINY SIZED NUMBER OF COMEX LONGS TRANSFERRING THEIR CONTRACTS TO LONDON THROUGH THE EFP:
31 EFP’S FOR MARCH, 0 FOR APRIL AND ZERO FOR ALL OTHER MONTHS AND THEREFORE TOTAL ISSUANCE: OF 31 CONTRACTS. WITH THE TRANSFER OF 31 CONTRACTS, WHAT THE CME IS STATING IS THAT THERE IS NO SILVER (OR GOLD) TO BE DELIVERED UPON AT THE COMEX AS THEY MUST EXPORT THEIR OBLIGATION TO LONDON. ALSO KEEP IN MIND THAT THERE CAN BE A DELAY OF 24-48 HRS IN THE ISSUING OF EFP’S. THE 31 EFP CONTRACTS TRANSLATES INTO 0.155 MILLION OZ ACCOMPANYING:
1.THE 1 CENT RISE IN SILVER PRICE AT THE COMEX AND
2. THE STRONG AMOUNT OF SILVER OUNCES WHICH STOOD FOR DELIVERY IN THE LAST SIX MONTHS:
JUNE/2018. (5.420 MILLION OZ);
FOR JULY: 30.370 MILLION OZ
FOR AUG., 6.065 MILLION OZ
FOR SEPT. 39.505 MILLION OZ S
FOR OCT.2.525 MILLION OZ.
FOR NOV: A HUGE 7.440 MILLION OZ STANDING FOR NOVEMBER AND
21.925 MILLION OZ FINALLY STAND FOR DECEMBER.
AND NOW: INITIALLY 5.565 MILLION OZ STAND IN JANUARY.
ACCUMULATION FOR EFP’S/SILVER/J.P.MORGAN’S HOUSE OF BRIBES, / STARTING FROM FIRST DAY NOTICE/FOR MONTH OF JANUARY: 26,157 CONTRACTS (FOR 10 TRADING DAYS TOTAL 26,157 CONTRACTS) OR 130.785 MILLION OZ: (AVERAGE PER DAY: 2616 CONTRACTS OR 13.080 MILLION OZ/DAY)
TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA AS TO THE HUGE SUPPLY THIS MONTH IN SILVER: SO FAR THIS MONTH OF JAN: 130.78 MILLION PAPER OZ HAVE MORPHED OVER TO LONDON. THIS REPRESENTS AROUND 18.65% OF ANNUAL GLOBAL PRODUCTION (EX CHINA EX RUSSIA)* JUNE’S 345.43 MILLION OZ IS THE SECOND HIGHEST RECORDED ISSUANCE OF EFP’S AND IT FOLLOWED THE RECORD SET IN APRIL 2018 OF 385.75 MILLION OZ.
ACCUMULATION IN YEAR 2019 TO DATE SILVER EFP’S: 130.78 MILLION OZ.
RESULT: WE HAD A GOOD SIZED INCREASE IN COMEX OI SILVER COMEX CONTRACTS OF 1466 WITH THE TINY 1 CENT RISE IN SILVER PRICING AT THE COMEX //YESTERDAY..THE CME NOTIFIED US THAT WE HAD A STRONG SIZED EFP ISSUANCE OF 31 CONTRACTS WHICH EXITED OUT OF THE SILVER COMEX AND TRANSFERRED THEIR OI TO LONDON AS FORWARDS. SPECULATORS CONTINUED THEIR INTEREST IN ATTACKING THE SILVER COMEX FOR PHYSICAL SILVER (SEE COMEX DATA) .
TODAY WE GAINED A CONSIDERABLE SIZED: 1487 TOTAL OI CONTRACTS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES:
i.e 31 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS HEADED FOR LONDON (EFP’s) TOGETHER WITH INCREASE OF 1466 OI COMEX CONTRACTS. AND ALL OF THIS DEMAND HAPPENED WITH A 1 CENT RISE IN PRICE OF SILVER AND A CLOSING PRICE OF $15.64 WITH RESPECT TO YESTERDAY’S TRADING. YET WE HAD A GIGANTIC AMOUNT OF SILVER STANDING AT THE COMEX FOR DELIVERY
In ounces AT THE COMEX, the OI is still represented by JUST UNDER 1 BILLION oz i.e. .896 BILLION OZ TO BE EXACT or 128% of annual global silver production (ex Russia & ex China).
FOR THE NEW FRONT JANUARY MONTH/ THEY FILED AT THE COMEX: 22 NOTICE(S) FOR 110,000 OZ OF SILVER
IN SILVER,PRIOR TO TODAY, WE SET THE NEW COMEX RECORD OF OPEN INTEREST AT 243,411 CONTRACTS ON APRIL 9.2018. AND AGAIN THIS HAS BEEN SET WITH A LOW PRICE OF $16.51.
AND NOW WE RECORD FOR POSTERITY ANOTHER ALL TIME RECORD OPEN INTEREST AT THE COMEX OF 244,196 CONTRACTS ON AUGUST 22/2018 AND AGAIN WHEN THIS RECORD WAS SET, THE PRICE OF SILVER WAS $14.78 AND LOWER IN PRICE THAN PREVIOUS RECORDS.
ON THE DEMAND SIDE WE HAVE THE FOLLOWING:
- HUGE AMOUNTS OF SILVER STANDING FOR DELIVERY (MARCH/2018: 27 MILLION OZ , APRIL/2018 : 2.485 MILLION OZ MAY: 36.285 MILLION OZ ; JUNE/2018 (5.420 MILLION OZ) , JULY 2018 FINAL AMOUNT STANDING: 30.370 MILLION OZ ) FOR AUGUST 6.065 MILLION OZ. , SEPT: A HUGE 39.505 MILLION OZ./ OCTOBER: 2,520,000 oz NOV AT 7.440 MILLION OZ./ DEC. AT 21.925 MILLION OZ AND NOW JANUARY AT 5.565 MILLION OZ.
- HUGE RECORD OPEN INTEREST IN SILVER 243,411 CONTRACTS (OR 1.217 BILLION OZ/ SET APRIL 9/2018) AND NOW AUGUST 22/2018: 244,196 CONTRACTS, WITH A SILVER PRICE OF $14.78.
- HUGE ANNUAL EFP’S ISSUANCE EQUAL TO 2.9 BILLION OZ OR 400% OF SILVER ANNUAL PRODUCTION/2017
- RECORD SETTING EFP ISSUANCE FOR ANY MONTH IN SILVER; APRIL/2018/ 385.75 MILLION OZ/ AND THE SECOND HIGHEST RECORDED EFP ISSUANCE JUNE 2018 345.43 MILLION OZ
AND YET, WITH THE EXTREMELY HIGH EFP ISSUANCE, WE HAVE A CONTINUAL LOW PRICE OF SILVER DESPITE THE ABOVE HUGE DEMAND. TO ME THE ONLY ANSWER IS THAT WE HAVE SOVEREIGN (CHINA) WHO IS ENDEAVOURING TO GOBBLE UP ALL AVAILABLE PHYSICAL SILVER NO MATTER WHERE, EXACTLY WHAT J.P.MORGAN IS DOING. AND IT IS MY BELIEF THAT J.P.MORGAN IS HOLDING ITS SILVER FOR ITS BENEFICIAL OWNER..THE USA GOVERNMENT WHO IN TURN IS HOLDING THAT SILVER FOR CHINA.(FOR A SILVER LOAN REPAYMENT).
IN GOLD, THE OPEN INTEREST ROSE BY A HUMONGOUS SIZED 15,044 CONTRACTS UP TO 494,828 WITH THE SMALL GAIN IN THE COMEX GOLD PRICE/(A RISE IN PRICE OF $1.65//YESTERDAY’S TRADING)
THE CME RELEASED THE DATA FOR EFP ISSUANCE AND IT TOTALED A STRONG SIZED 6045 CONTRACTS:
FEBRUARY HAD AN ISSUANCE OF 6045 CONTACTS AND ALL OTHER MONTHS ZERO. The NEW COMEX OI for the gold complex rests at 494,828. ALSO REMEMBER THAT THERE WILL BE A DELAY IN THE ISSUANCE OF EFP’S. THE BANKERS REMOVE LONG POSITIONS OF COMEX GOLD IMMEDIATELY. THEN THEY ORCHESTRATE THEIR PRIVATE EFP DEAL WITH THE LONGS AND THAT COULD TAKE AN ADDITIONAL, 48 HRS SO WE GENERALLY DO NOT GET A MATCH WITH RESPECT TO DEPARTING COMEX LONGS AND NEW EFP LONG TRANSFERS. . EVEN THOUGH THE BANKERS ISSUED THESE MONSTROUS EFPS, THE OBLIGATION STILL RESTS WITH THE BANKERS TO SUPPLY METAL BUT IT TRANSFERS THE RISK TO A LONDON BANKER OBLIGATION AND NOT A NEW YORK COMEX OBLIGATION. LONGS RECEIVE A FIAT BONUS TOGETHER WITH A LONG LONDON FORWARD. THUS, BY THESE ACTIONS, THE BANKERS AT THE COMEX HAVE JUST STATED THAT THEY HAVE NO APPRECIABLE METAL!! THIS IS A MASSIVE FRAUD: THEY CANNOT SUPPLY ANY METAL TO OUR COMEX LONGS BUT THEY ARE QUITE WILLING TO SUPPLY MASSIVE NON BACKED GOLD (AND SILVER) PAPER KNOWING THAT THEY HAVE NO METAL TO SATISFY OUR LONGS. LONDON IS NOW SEVERELY BACKWARD IN BOTH GOLD AND SILVER AND WE ARE WITNESSING DELAYS IN ACTUAL DELIVERIES.
IN ESSENCE WE HAVE A HUGELY ATMOSPHERIC SIZED GAIN IN TOTAL CONTRACTS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES OF 21,089 CONTRACTS: 15,044 OI CONTRACTS INCREASED AT THE COMEX AND 6045 EFP OI CONTRACTS WHICH NAVIGATED OVER TO LONDON. THUS TOTAL OI GAIN: 21,089 CONTRACTS OR 2,108,900 OZ = 65.59 TONNES. AND ALL OF THIS HUMONGOUS DEMAND OCCURRED WITH A RISE IN THE PRICE OF GOLD/ YESTERDAY TO THE TUNE OF A TINY $1.65??????????
YESTERDAY, WE HAD 5979 EFP’S ISSUED.
ACCUMULATION OF EFP’S GOLD AT J.P. MORGAN’S HOUSE OF BRIBES: (EXCHANGE FOR PHYSICAL) FOR THE MONTH OF JANUARY : 79,429 CONTRACTS OR 7,942,900 OZ OR 247.05 TONNES (10 TRADING DAYS AND THUS AVERAGING: 7943 EFP CONTRACTS PER TRADING DAY
TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA AS TO THE HUGE SIZE OF THESE EFP TRANSFERS : THIS MONTH IN 10 TRADING DAYS IN TONNES: 247.05 TONNES
TOTAL ANNUAL GOLD PRODUCTION, 2017, THROUGHOUT THE WORLD EX CHINA EX RUSSIA: 2555 TONNES
THUS EFP TRANSFERS REPRESENTS 247.05/2550 x 100% TONNES = 9.68% OF GLOBAL ANNUAL PRODUCTION SO FAR IN DECEMBER ALONE.***
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S YEAR 2019 TO DATE: 247.05 TONNES
WHAT IS ALARMING TO ME, ACCORDING TO OUR LONDON EXPERT ANDREW MAGUIRE IS THAT THESE EFP’S ARE BEING TRANSFERRED TO WHAT ARE CALLED SERIAL FORWARD CONTRACT OBLIGATIONS AND THESE CONTRACTS ARE LESS THAN 14 DAYS. ANYTHING GREATER THAN 14 DAYS, THESE MUST BE RECORDED AND SENT TO THE COMPTROLLER, GREAT BRITAIN TO MONITOR RISK TO THE BANKING SYSTEM. IF THIS IS INDEED TRUE, THEN THIS IS A MASSIVE CONSPIRACY TO DEFRAUD AS WE NOW WITNESS A MONSTROUS TOTAL EFP’S ISSUANCE AS IT HEADS INTO THE STRATOSPHERE.
Result: A GIGANTIC SIZED INCREASE IN OI AT THE COMEX OF 15,044 WITH THE TINY GAIN IN PRICING ($1.65) THAT GOLD UNDERTOOK YESTERDAY) //.WE ALSO HAD A VERY HUGE SIZED NUMBER OF COMEX LONG TRANSFERRING TO LONDON THROUGH THE EFP ROUTE: 6045 CONTRACTS AS THESE HAVE ALREADY BEEN NEGOTIATED AND CONFIRMED. THERE OBVIOUSLY DOES NOT SEEM TO BE MUCH PHYSICAL GOLD AT THE COMEX. I GUESS IT EXPLAINS THE HUGE ISSUANCE OF EFP’S…THERE IS HARDLY ANY GOLD PRESENT AT THE GOLD COMEX FOR DELIVERY PURPOSES. IF YOU TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE 6045 EFP CONTRACTS ISSUED, WE HAD AN UNBELIEVABLE GAIN OF 21,089 CONTRACTS IN TOTAL OPEN INTEREST ON THE TWO EXCHANGES:
6045 CONTRACTS MOVE TO LONDON AND 15,089 CONTRACTS INCREASED AT THE COMEX. (IN TONNES, THE GAIN IN TOTAL OI EQUATES TO 65.59 TONNES). ..AND ALL OF THIS DEMAND OCCURRED WITH THE TINY GAIN OF $1.65 IN YESTERDAY’S TRADING AT THE COMEX??????????
we had: 5 notice(s) filed upon for 500 oz of gold at the comex.
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With respect to our two criminal funds, the GLD and the SLV:
GLD...
WITH GOLD DOWN $1.45 TODAY
NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD
/GLD INVENTORY 797.71 TONNES
Inventory rests tonight: 797.71 tonnes.
TO ALL INVESTORS THINKING OF BUYING GOLD THROUGH THE GLD ROUTE: YOU ARE MAKING A TERRIBLE MISTAKE AS THE CROOKS ARE USING WHATEVER GOLD COMES IN TO ATTACK BY SELLING THAT GOLD. IT SURE SEEMS TO ME THAT THE GOLD OBLIGATIONS AT THE GLD EXCEED THEIR INVENTORY
SLV/
WITH SILVER DOWN 4 CENTS TODAY:
A SMALL CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY/
A WITHDRAWAL OF 469,000 OZ FROM ITS INVENTORY
/INVENTORY RESTS AT 313.163 MILLION OZ.
end
First, here is an outline of what will be discussed tonight:
1. Today, we had the open interest in SILVER ROSE BY A GOOD SIZED 1433 CONTRACTS from 189,936 UP TO 191,309 AND MOVING CLOSER TO THE NEW COMEX RECORD SET LAST IN AUG.2018 AT 244,196 WITH A SILVER PRICE OF $14.78/(AUGUST 22/2018)..THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS SET ON APRIL 9/2018 AT 243,411 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS WITH THE SILVER PRICE AT THAT DAY: $16.53). AND PREVIOUS TO THAT, THE RECORD WAS ESTABLISHED AT: 234,787 CONTRACTS, SET ON APRIL 21.2017 OVER 1 1/3 YEARS AGO. THE PRICE OF SILVER ON THAT DAY: $17.89. AS YOU CAN SEE, WE HAVE RECORD HIGH OPEN INTERESTS IN SILVER ACCOMPANIED BY A CONTINUAL LOWER PRICE WHEN THAT RECORD WAS SET…..
.
OUR CUSTOMARY MIGRATION OF COMEX LONGS CONTINUE TO MORPH INTO LONDON FORWARDS AS OUR BANKERS USED THEIR EMERGENCY PROCEDURE TO ISSUE:
31 CONTRACTS FOR MARCH. 0 CONTRACTS FOR APRIL AND AND ALL OTHER MONTHS: ZERO. TOTAL EFP ISSUANCE: 31 CONTRACTS. EFP’S GIVE OUR COMEX LONGS A FIAT BONUS PLUS A DELIVERABLE PRODUCT OVER IN LONDON. IF WE TAKE THE OI GAIN AT THE COMEX OF 1433 CONTRACTS TO THE 31 OI TRANSFERRED TO LONDON THROUGH EFP’S, WE OBTAIN A CONSIDERABLE GAIN OF 1464 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS. THUS IN OUNCES, THE GAIN ON THE TWO EXCHANGES: 7.32 MILLION OZ!!! AND YET WE ALSO HAVE A STRONG DEMAND FOR PHYSICAL AS WE WITNESSED A FINAL STANDING OF GREATER THAN 30 MILLION OZ FOR JULY, A STRONG 6.065 MILLION OZ FOR AUGUST.. A HUGE 39.505 MILLION OZ STANDING FOR SILVER IN SEPTEMBER… OVER 2 million OZ STANDING FOR THE NON ACTIVE MONTH OF OCTOBER., 7.440 MILLION OZ FINALLY STANDING IN NOVEMBER. 21.925 MILLION OZ STANDING IN DECEMBER AND 5.655 MILLION OZ STANDING IN JANUARY..
RESULT: A GOOD SIZED INCREASE IN SILVER OI AT THE COMEX WITH THE 1 CENT PRICING GAIN THAT SILVER UNDERTOOK IN PRICING// YESTERDAY.BUT WE ALSO HAD A TINY SIZED 31 EFP’S ISSUED TRANSFERRING COMEX LONGS OVER TO LONDON. TOGETHER WITH THE STRONG SIZED AMOUNT OF SILVER OUNCES STANDING FOR SEPTEMBER, DEMAND FOR PHYSICAL SILVER CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS WE WITNESS SEVERE BACKWARDATION IN SILVER IN LONDON.
(report Harvey)
.
2.a) The Shanghai and London gold fix report
(Harvey)
2 b) Gold/silver trading overnight Europe, Goldcore
(Mark O’Byrne/zerohedge
and in NY: Bloomberg
3. ASIAN AFFAIRS
i)TUESDAY MORNING/ MONDAY NIGHT:
SHANGHAI CLOSED UP 34.58 PTS OR 1.56% //Hang Sang CLOSED UP 531.96 POINTS OR 2.02% /The Nikkei closed UP 195.59 PTS OR .96%/ Australia’s all ordinaires CLOSED UP 0.66%
/Chinese yuan (ONSHORE) closed UP at 6.7614 AS TRUCE DECLARED FOR 3 MONTHS /Oil DOWN to 51.10 dollars per barrel for WTI and 59.91 for Brent. Stocks in Europe OPENED /RED
//. ONSHORE YUAN CLOSED UP AT 6.7614 AGAINST THE DOLLAR. OFFSHORE YUAN CLOSED DOWN ON THE DOLLAR AT 6.7695: HUGE DEVALUATION/PAST SEVERAL DAYS RESUMES// TRADE TALKS NOW ON/MAJOR PROBLEMS AT HUAWEI /CFO ARRESTED : /ONSHORE YUAN TRADING ABOVE LEVEL OF OFFSHORE YUAN/ONSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST USA DOLLAR/OFFSHORE YUAN TRADING WEAKER AGAINST THE DOLLAR /CHINA RETALIATES WITH TARIFFS/ TRUMP RESPONDS TO NEW TARIFFS AND IT NOW A FULL TRADE WAR COMMENCED
3A/NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA
i)North Korea/South Korea/USA/CHINA
b) REPORT ON JAPAN
3 C/ CHINA
i)CHINA/USA
4/EUROPEAN AFFAIRS
i)ITALY/EUROPE/
According to Italy’s PMi Salvini, Europe could collapse over the migration issue.
( zerohedge)
ii)Italy now wants to build an anti EU axis on the populist program. They are teaming up with Hungary on this issue. The central them is that they are anti immigrate
( Kern/Gatestone)
iii)France
Riots continue in France where the police are now using semi automatic weapons trying to quell the yellow vests. Macron is losing grip on his country.
(courtesy zerohedge)
iv)UK/the historical vote:
5. RUSSIAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN AFFAIRS
IRAN
Iran launches a satellite and it fails to reach its third stage and thus did not go into orbit. A lot of money down the drain for this bankrupt nation
( zerohedge)
6. GLOBAL ISSUES
i)The following is a good bellwether for global growth: Goodyear tire slashes guidance and blames China and Europe
( zerohedge)
ii)the global slowdown is much more advanced that originally thought.
7. OIL ISSUES
8 EMERGING MARKET ISSUES
ii)INDIAThis will hurt India’s GDP: India just staged the largest strike in its history as 200 million workers took to the street; This lasted for two days.
( zerohedge)
9. PHYSICAL MARKETS
( Ahval/GATA)
10. USA stories which will influence the price of gold/silver)
MARKET TRADING
After being up in the early morning, Chuck Grassley admitted that there was little progress in the latest Chinese trade talks. I have been telling you that there will be no deal struck between China and the uSA
( zero hedge)
ii)Market data/
a)This is a major surprise: our crooked friends over at JPMorgan miss on the earnings and revenue . It seems that the entire globe is having trouble
( zerohedge)
b)Wells Fargo the leader in the USA mortgage field, just reported its worst number since the financial crisis began in 2008. Another indicator that the USA economy is faltering.
c)Another good indicator that the economy is coming to a screeching halt: USA producer prices disappoint again, dropping .2% month/month
( zerohedge
a) Los Angeles sees it’s first teacher strike in 30 years as 30,000 teachers were not in their classrooms and instead were picketing, It will impact 480,000 students.
( zerohedge
(courtesy Michael Snyder)
c)Quite an op ed. Usually they do not allow anonymous op eds However this one is from a senior Trump official and he hopes for a long shutdown to smoke out the resistance.
d)this is huge!! The biggest hawk of the them all: Esther George, just threw in the towel and states that it is a good time to pause hikes in rates. It indicates that all Fed govs and presidents now believe that the economy is sinking. I still think that Powell will blow up the system and continue to raise rates.( zerohedge)
iv)SWAMP STORIES
Today, we have the hearings for the new AG. Barr states that there is no “witch hunt” against Trump but he is shocked by the texts of FBI agents. I think this is grandstanding..he will make his move once he is confirmed.
( zerohedge)
Let us head over to the comex:
THE NEXT NON ACTIVE DELIVERY MONTH IS FEBRUARY AND HERE THE OI ROSE BY 5 CONTRACTS DOWN TO 457. AFTER FEBRUARY IS THE VERY BIG AND ACTIVE DELIVERY MONTH OF MARCH AND HERE THE OI ROSE BY 331 CONTRACTS UP TO 143,323 CONTRACTS.
FOR COMPARISON TO THE COMEX 2017 CONTRACT MONTH AND JANUARY 2018 CONTRACT MONTH
ON FIRST DAY NOTICE JAN 1/2018 CONTRACT MONTH WE HAD A GOOD 2.695 MILLION OZ STAND FOR DELIVERY’
AT THE CONCLUSION OF JAN/2018 WE HAD 3.650 MILLION OZ STAND AS QUEUE JUMPING WAS THE NORM FOR SILVER
.
i) Out of Delaware;: 1217.18 oz
ii) Out of HSBC: 8587.106 oz
–
5.RUSSIAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN AFFAIRS
IRAN
Iran launches a satellite and it fails to reach its third stage and thus did not go into orbit. A lot of money down the drain for this bankrupt nation
(courtesy zerohedge)
Iran Satellite Launch Fails After Defying US Warnings
Iran on Tuesday conducted at least one of two planned satellite launches despite warnings from the United States, however the satellite failed to reach the “necessary speed” in its third stage and did not enter orbit, according to an official.
The rocket carrying the Payam satellite failed to reach the “necessary speed” in the third stage of its launch, Telecommunications Minister Mohammad Javad Azari Jahromi said.
Jahromi said the rocket had successfully passed its first and second stages before developing problems in the third. He didn’t elaborate on what caused the rocket failure but promised that Iranian scientists would continue their work. –CBS News
The launch took place at Imam Khomeini Space Center in the province of Semnan, and was overseen by the country’s Defense Ministry according to Jahromi. Images published last week by CNN show activity at the launch site.
Tuesday’s launch follows warnings by Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, who said that the launches would violate a 2015 United Nations Security Resolution by incorporating ballistic missile technology, passed in order to endorse the Iran nuclear deal which Trump withdrew from last May.
“The United States will not stand by and watch the Iranian regime’s destructive policies place international stability and security at risk,” said Pompeo in a Jan. 3 statement. “We advise the regime to reconsider these provocative launches and cease all activities related to ballistic missiles in order to avoid deeper economic and diplomatic isolation.”
That said, the Security Council resolution says Iran “is called upon” not to conduct any activity related to ballistic missiles, but does not ban the activity.
Next up is the Doosti satellite, which may or may not be delayed according to Jahromi, who just tweeted that: “Doosti is waiting for orbit,” adding “We should not come up short or stop. It’s exactly in these circumstances that we Iranians are different than other people in spirit and bravery.”
The Payam satellite was meant for use in communications and imaging and had four cameras, Reuters reports.
Iranian state television had aired footage of its reporter narrating the launch of the Simorgh rocket, shouting over its roar that it sent “a message of the pride, self-confidence and willpower of Iranian youth to the world!”
The TV footage shows the rocket becoming just a pinpoint of light in the darkened sky, but not the moment of its failure. Jahromi’s comments that the problem developed in the launch’s third stage suggest something went wrong after the rocket pushed the satellite out of the Earth’s atmosphere. –CBS News
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu slammed Iran over the launch, accusing Tehran of lying about the “innocent satellite” which was actually “the first stage of an intercontinental missile.”
6. GLOBAL ISSUES
The following is a good bellwether for global growth: Goodyear tire slashes guidance and blames China and Europe
(courtesy zerohedge)
Goodyear Tire Slashes Guidance, Blames China, Europe
First Fedex, then Apple, then Delta, then Barnes and Noble, Macys, then American Airlines, then Alibaba, and now Goodyear Tire has just slashed guidance.
In an 8-K filed moments after the tire giant made negative comments at the Detroit auto show, Goodyear warned that full year operating income is now expected to come below the Company’s previous guidance of approximately $1.3 billion, and cautioned that Q4 2018 tire unit volumes declined by approximately 3%. The company blamed the usual suspects, namely the slowing economies in China and Europe as well as supply constraint in the US, to wit:
- continued weakening of the OE environment in China and India,
- declines in the winter tire market in Europe late in the quarter,
- supply constraints on volume for high-value-added consumer and commercial truck tires in the United States.
The company also noted that while price/mix was positive during the fourth quarter of 2018, it was “less than anticipated due to weaker mix, partially as a result of the supply constraints referred to above.”
In addition, GT added that earnings fell in other tire-related businesses, including with respect to the Company’s U.S. chemical operations.
As a result, Goodyear now expected 2018 net income to be “adversely affected” and the Company’s total segment operating income is expected to be “slightly below” the Company’s previous guidance of approximately $1.3 billion.
The stock promptly tumbled after the warning, and has dragged down peers such as Cooper Tire.
The company’s 8-K (found here) is below:
On January 15 and 16, 2019, representatives of The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (the “Company”) will present at conferences hosted in conjunction with the Detroit Auto Show and will provide an update on the Company’s preliminary 2018 performance.
As part of those presentations, the Company will announce that fourth quarter of 2018 tire unit volumes declined by approximately 3% due to (1) continued weakening of the OE environment in China and India, (2) declines in the winter tire market in Europe late in the quarter, and (3) supply constraints on volume for high-value-added consumer and commercial truck tires in the United States. Price/mix was positive during the fourth quarter of 2018 but was less than anticipated due to weaker mix, partially as a result of the supply constraints referred to above. In addition, earnings fell in other tire-related businesses, including with respect to the Company’s U.S. chemical operations.
As a result of these factors, for the full year of 2018, Goodyear net income is expected to be adversely affected and the Company’s total segment operating income is expected to be slightly below the Company’s previous guidance of approximately $1.3 billion.
As we said recently, expect many more such guidance cuts as companies finally come clean with economic reality and with what Morgan Stanley said over the weekend, will soon be revealed as an earnings recession.
These New Numbers Prove The Global Economic Slowdown Is Far More Advanced Than We Thought
Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,
We continue to get more confirmation that the global economy is slowing down substantially.
On Monday, it was China’s turn to surprise analysts, and the numbers that they just released are absolutely stunning. When Chinese imports and exports are both expanding, that is a clear sign that the global economy is running on all cylinders, but when both of them are contracting that is an indication that huge trouble is ahead. And the experts were certainly anticipating substantial increases in both categories in December, but instead there were huge declines. There is no possible way to spin these numbers to make them look good…
Data from China showed imports fell 7.6 percent year-on-year in December while analysts had predicted a 5-percent rise. Exports dropped 4.4 percent, confounding expectations for a 3-percent gain.
China now accounts for more total global trade than the United States does, and the fact that the numbers for the global economy’s number one trade hub are falling this dramatically is a major warning sign.
And of course it isn’t just China that is experiencing trouble. In fact, we just witnessed the worst industrial output numbers in Europe “in nearly three years”…
Adding to the gloom were weak industrial output numbers from the euro zone, which showed the largest fall in nearly three years.
Softening demand has been felt around the world, with sales of goods ranging from iPhones to automobiles slowing, prompting profit warnings from Apple among others.
If we were headed for a major global recession, these are exactly the types of news stories that we would expect to see.
We also continue to get more indications that the U.S. economy is slowing down significantly. For example, sales of new homes in the U.S. were down 19 percent in November and 18 percent in December…
Sales of newly built homes fell 18 percent in December compared with December of 2017, according to data compiled by John Burns Real Estate Consulting, a California-based housing research and analytics firm.
Due to the partial government shutdown, official government figures on home sales for November and December have not been released.
Sales were also down a steep 19 percent annually in November, according to JBRC’s analysts.
Those are horrific numbers, and they are very reminiscent of what we witnessed back in 2008.
And we also just learned that employers are cutting back on hiring new college grads for the first time in eight years…
A new report from the National Association of Colleges and Employers (NACE) shows that for the first time in eight years, managers are pulling back the reins on hiring college grads, with a projected 1.3 percent decrease from last year. Additionally, a survey from Monster.com found that of 350 college students polled, 75 percent don’t have a job lined up yet.
I feel really bad for those that are getting ready to graduate from college, because I know what it is like to graduate in the middle of an economic downturn. At the time, many of my friends took whatever jobs they possibly could, and some of them never really got on the right track after that.
But the economic environment that is ahead will be much worse than any of the minor recessions that the U.S. has experienced in the past, and that means things are going to be extremely tough for our college graduates. And the total amount of student loan debt in this country has roughly tripled over the last decade, and so a lot of these young people are going to enter the real world with crippling amounts of debt but without the good jobs that they were promised would be there upon graduation.
As economic conditions have begun to deteriorate, I have had more people begin to ask me about what they can do to get prepared for what is coming. And I always start off by telling them the exact same thing. Today, 78 percent of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck, but when an economic downturn strikes that is precisely what you do not want to be doing.
Some people that I hear from insist that there is no possible way that they can put together an emergency fund because they are already spending everything that they are bringing in.
And yes, it is true that there are some people out there that are so financially stretched that they literally do not have a single penny to spare even though they are being extremely frugal, but the majority of us definitely have areas where we can cut back.
I realize that “cutting back” does not sound fun. But not being able to pay your mortgage when things get really bad will be a whole lot less fun.
Right now people should be focusing on reducing expenses and trying to make some extra money. Use whatever time we have left before things get really bad to put yourself into a better financial position. If you have at least a little bit of money to fall back on, it will make your life much less stressful in the long run.
In addition, anything that you can do to become more independent of the system is a good thing. On a very basic level, learning to grow a garden can end up saving you a ton of money. I was just at the grocery store earlier today, and food is getting really expensive. When the Federal Reserve says that we are in a “low inflation” environment, I always wonder what world they are living on.
When I got up to the register today, I almost felt like they were going to ask me what organ I wanted to donate in order to pay for my groceries. Unfortunately, the price of food right now is actually quite low compared to what it is going to be in the days ahead.
So I guess I shouldn’t complain too much.
I think that I have just been in a foul mood all day ever since I came across Gillette’s new “toxic masculinity” ad.
Ladies and gentlemen, 2019 is off to quite a rough start, and things are likely to get a whole lot rougher.
As always, let us hope for the best, but let us also get prepared for the worst.
7 OIL ISSUES
8. EMERGING MARKETS
/INDIA
This will hurt India’s GDP: India just staged the largest strike in its history as 200 million workers took to the street; This lasted for two days.
(courtesy zerohedge)
India Just Staged The Biggest Strike In History As 200 Million Workers Took To The Streets
In what may be the largest worker strike in history, last week India came to a halt for two days when at least 200 million workers – about 16% of India’s 1.25 billion population – in the country’s public, services, communications and agriculture sectors staged a strike across the country organized by ten labor unions against what they called the anti-national and anti-worker policies of the BJP-led government, and against a new labor law that would undermine the rights of workers and unions.
The strike is a protest against new legislation that passed on 2 January, and is a de facto verdict on Prime Minister Narendra Modi providing an opportunity for millions of workers to protest against high prices and high levels of unemployment, something we touched upon in “The Indian Railway System Announced 63,000 Job Openings… 19 Million People Applied.”
John Dayal, general secretary of the All India Christian Council, told AsiaNews that the event was exceptional, “one of the largest ever organised in the country, planned in advance in every detail.” In his view, the most important thing is that it “is taking place on the eve of general elections that will mark the fate of the prime minister”.
While the massive strike took place in an overall context of calm, there were numerous incidents confirming that social anger in the world’s second most populous nation is also approaching a breaking point: protesters blocked several cities, clashes broke out and damage were reported; a 57-year-old woman died in in Mundagod, a city in northern Karnataka, during a local protest. In Maharashtra more than 5,000 workers blocked the Mumbai-Baroda-Jaipur-Delhi highway. In Puducherry (Pondicherry), on the east coast, protesters hurled stones at a Tamil Nadu state bus. Transport services closed and rail services were disrupted in Kerala. In Odisha (Orissa), shops, schools, offices and markets shut down for 48 hours. In West Bengal, protesters burnt effigies of Prime Minister Modi.
The national strike was an initiative of the Central Trade Unions (CTU), which is an India-wide labor federation. Unions are opposed to the Trade Unions (Amendment) Bill of 2018 which modified the Trade Union Act of 1926.
Under the law, trade union recognition is mandatory at both at national and state level. However, workers believe that the new law grants the government discretionary power in recognizing labor organizations, effectively eliminating the current bargaining process involving employees, employers and the government.
Unions demanded the enactment of the Social Security Act to protect workers and a minimum wage of 24,000 rupees (more than US$ 340) for the unorganised transport sector.
Workers in banking, insurance, healthcare, education, transport, electricity and coal mining also joined the strike. Student groups also protested as did farmers’ associations that have threatened to call a gramin hartal, a rural strike. Farmers have been protesting for months over the harsh conditions in the countryside, burdened by debt and an wave of suicides.
Tapan Sen, secretary general of the Centre of Indian Trade Unions (CITU), one of the striking labor organisations, criticized Prime Minister Modi’s government for killing the work culture in the country’s public sectors by favoring private players in major manufacturing contracts.
Unions also alleged the government had failed to create jobs and grossly ignored unions’ 12-point charter of demands besides aggressively pushing for fixed-term employment and amendment to the Trade Union Act, all of which is against the interest of the workers, according to the Economic Times.
Addressing the media after the 2-day strike, Amarjeet Kaur of AITUC said around eight states witnessed a complete shutdown, largely in the northeast, Kerala, Bihar and Goa. There were over 20 crore workers who had joined the strike.
The massive strike comes at an critical inflection point for India, which is one of the world’s fastest growing economies, yet isn’t generating enough jobs for its educated young populace.
A recent Washington Post article estimated that the number of people in India between age of 15 and 34 is expected to hit 480 million by the year 2021. They have higher literacy levels and are staying in school longer than any other previous generation. The surge of youths could be an immense opportunity for the country, if it can find a way to put them to work. But the employment trends in the country remain gloomy.
An analysis performed by Azim Premji University shows that unemployment between 2011 and 2016 in nearly all Indian states was rising. The jobless rates for younger people and those with higher education also increased sharply. For instance, for college graduates, it grew from 4.1% to 8.4%.
Ajit Ghose, an economist at the Institute for Human Development in Delhi, said that the country needs to generate jobs not just for the 6 million to 8 million new workforce entrants annually, but also for people like women who are working less than they would be if they could get jobs at a decent wage. The same economist notes that India has about 104 million “surplus” workers.
Expanding the labor market that much is a tall task for any government, not just India. Modi’s track record of job creation also remains somewhat of a mystery, as the country hasn’t offered nationwide employment data since 2016. The ministries of labor and statistics have conducted surveys of Indian households, but the results have not been made public.
Amit Basole, an economist at Azim Premji University, said: “It’s anybody’s guess whether we’ll see any employment statistics come out before the 2019 elections.”
What happens after this unprecedented show of force by India’s workers? Probably more of the same: unions threatened to follow last week’s strike with an indefinite strike if government does not heed to their demands. The general secretary for one of the labor unions, HMS, said the unions collectively decided to go on indefinite strike if the government does not respond to the “historic” strike this time.
If that happens, India’s record as one of the world’s fastest growing economies will soon be tarnished. As for the bigger picture, one where general popular – and populist – discontent around the globe is rapidly spreading and affecting not only developed nations (Trump, Brexit, most of Europe), but also the developing world.
Whether the unions will get what they want is unclear, but one thing is certain: India’s even more populous neighbor, China, is very closely following these restive worker developments and doing everything in its power to stop its own population from getting similar thoughts.
South Africa Created 100 “Blacks-Only” Doctor Positions… Fails To Fill Them
Is it racist?
South Africa’s KwaZulu-Natal health department expanded its registrar program in 2019 from 314 to 414, but, according to a leaked memo, it aimed to fill the 100 new posts with only black candidates.
Departmental spokesperson Ncumisa Mafunda said historical redress was a government imperative and “the morally and socially right thing to do”.
“South Africa, including KwaZulu-Natal, remains an unequal society with limited opportunities for self-development for those who were historically oppressed.”
However, the quota was not met and Mafunda was forced to admit – shock, horror – non-Black African doctors…
“After difficulties were experienced in recruiting black African candidates for these posts, a deviation was sought from the accounting officer and, out of a total of 77 registrar posts, 21 posts will be offered to non-Black Africans.”
A spokesperson for Democratic Alliance – the leading opposition party to the ruling African National Congress – argued that any policy was “an aberration of our constitutional values and is racist.”
“Any form or attempt to redress the injustices of the past must ensure that we remain committed to what our constitution says… There must be no exclusion, especially based on the color of our skin.”
As RT notes, the failed quota was not well received on Twitter, with many calling it openly racist and counter-intuitive.
“Let me understand – one should practice racism in order to eradicate racism? Sounds logical,” one sarcastic T
Racial tensions in South Africa have been growing as a result of proposed legislation that would seize land, without compensation, from white farmers. The proposal has been billed as necessary to help correct years of racial inequality in the country as a result of apartheid.
Your early morning currency/gold and silver pricing/Asian and European bourse movements/ and interest rate settings TUESDAY morning 7:00
Euro/USA 1.1422 DOWN .0051 REACTING TO MERKEL’S FAILED COALITION/ REACTING TO +GERMAN ELECTION WHERE ALT RIGHT PARTY ENTERS THE BUNDESTAG/ huge Deutsche bank problems + USA election:///ITALIAN CHAOS /AND NOW ECB TAPERING BOND PURCHASES/JAPAN TAPERING BOND PURCHASES /USA RISING INTEREST RATES /FLOODING/EUROPE BOURSES RED
USA/JAPAN YEN 108;36 UP 0.122 (Abe’s new negative interest rate (NIRP), a total DISASTER/NOW TARGETS INTEREST RATE AT .11% AS IT WILL BUY UNLIMITED BONDS TO GETS TO THAT LEVEL…DEADLY TO OUR YEN SHORTERS
GBP/USA 1.2847 DOWN 0.0026 (Brexit March 29/ 2017/ARTICLE 50 SIGNED/BREXIT FEES WILL BE CAPPED
USA/CAN 1.3271 DOWN .0007 CANADA WORRIED ABOUT TRADE WITH THE USA WITH TRUMP ELECTION/ITALIAN EXIT AND GREXIT FROM EU/(TRUMP INITIATES LUMBER TARIFFS ON CANADA/CANADA HAS A HUGE HOUSEHOLD DEBT/GDP PROBLEM)
Early THIS TUESDAY morning in Europe, the Euro FELL by 51 basis points, trading now ABOVE the important 1.08 level FALLING to 1.1422/ Last night Shanghai composite CLOSED UP 34.58 POINTS OR 1.56%
//Hang Sang CLOSED UP 531.96POINTS OR 2.02%
/AUSTRALIA CLOSED UP 0.55% /EUROPEAN BOURSES RED
The NIKKEI: this TUESDAY morning CLOSED UP 195.59 POINTS OR .96%
Trading from Europe and Asia
1/EUROPE OPENED RED
2/ CHINESE BOURSES / :Hang Sang CLOSED UP 531.96 POINTS OR 2.02%
/SHANGHAI CLOSED UP 34.58 PTS OR 1.56%
Australia BOURSE CLOSED UP 0.66%
Nikkei (Japan) CLOSED UP 195.59 PTS OR .96%
INDIA’S SENSEX IN THE GREEN
Gold very early morning trading: 1290.80
silver:$15.58
Early TUESDAY morning USA 10 year bond yield: 2.69% !!! DOWN 1 IN POINTS from MONDAY’S night in basis points and it is trading WELL ABOVE resistance at 2.27-2.32%. (POLICY FED ERROR)/
The 30 yr bond yield 3.04 DOWN 1 IN BASIS POINTS from MONDAY night. (POLICY FED ERROR)/
USA dollar index early TUESDAY morning: 95.91 UP 30 CENT(S) from MONDAY’s close.
This ends early morning numbers TUESDAY MORNING
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And now your closing TUESDAY NUMBERS \12: 00 PM
Portuguese 10 year bond yield: 1.66% DOWN 2 in basis point(s) yield from MONDAY/
JAPANESE BOND YIELD: +.01% DOWN 1 BASIS POINTS from MONDAY/JAPAN losing control of its yield curve/
SPANISH 10 YR BOND YIELD: 1.39% DOWN 3 IN basis point yield from MONDAY
ITALIAN 10 YR BOND YIELD: 2.87 UP 3 POINTS in basis point yield from MONDAY/
the Italian 10 yr bond yield is trading 138 points HIGHER than Spain.
GERMAN 10 YR BOND YIELD: FALLS UP TO +.21% IN BASIS POINTS ON THE DAY//
THE IMPORTANT SPREAD BETWEEN ITALIAN 10 YR BOND AND GERMAN 10 YEAR BOND IS 2.66% AND NOW ABOVE THE THE 3.00% LEVEL WHICH WILL IMPLODE THE ENTIRE ITALIAN BANKING SYSTEM. AT 4% SPREAD THERE WILL BE A MASSIVE BANK RUN…
END
IMPORTANT CURRENCY CLOSES FOR TUESDAY
Closing currency crosses for TUESDAY night/USA DOLLAR INDEX/USA 10 YR BOND YIELD/1:00 PM
Euro/USA 1.1390 DOWN .0083 or 83 basis points
USA/Japan: 108.62 UP 0.382 OR 20 basis points/
Great Britain/USA 1.2736 DOWN .0138( POUND DOWN 138 BASIS POINTS)
Canadian dollar UP 4 basis points to 1.3274
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The USA/Yuan,CNY closed DOWN AT 6.7610- ON SHORE (YUAN DOWN)
THE USA/YUAN OFFSHORE: 6.7794( YUAN DOWN)
TURKISH LIRA: 5.4523
the 10 yr Japanese bond yield closed at +.01%
Your closing 10 yr USA bond yield UP 3 IN basis points from MONDAY at 2.71 % //trading well ABOVE the resistance level of 2.27-2.32%) very problematic USA 30 yr bond yield: 3.07 UP 4 in basis points on the day /
THE RISE IN BOTH THE 10 YR AND THE 30 YR ARE VERY PROBLEMATIC FOR VALUATIONS
Your closing USA dollar index, 96.18 UP 57 CENT(S) ON THE DAY/1.00 PM/
Your closing bourses for Europe and the Dow along with the USA dollar index closing and interest rates for TUESDAY: 12:00 PM
London: CLOSED UP 40.00 OR 0.58%
German Dax : UP 35.88 POINTS OR 0.33%
Paris Cac CLOSED UP 23.42 POINTS OR 0.49%
Spain IBEX CLOSED UP 31.50 POINTS OR 0.36%
Italian MIB: CLOSED DOWN 6.00 POINTS OR 0.03%
WTI Oil price; 51.81 12:00 pm;
Brent Oil: 60.19 12:00 EST
USA /RUSSIAN / ROUBLE CROSS: 67.00 THE CROSS HIGHER BY 0.01 ROUBLES/DOLLAR (ROUBLE LOWER BY 1 BASIS PTS)
USA DOLLAR VS TURKISH LIRA: 5.4523 PER ONE USA DOLLAR.
TODAY THE GERMAN YIELD FALLS +.21 FOR THE 10 YR BOND 1.00 PM EST EST
END
This ends the stock indices, oil price, currency crosses and interest rate closes for today 4:30 PM
Closing Price for Oil, 4:00 pm/and 10 year USA interest rate:
WTI CRUDE OIL PRICE 4:30 PM : 50.61
BRENT : 59.10
USA 10 YR BOND YIELD: 2.70%…
USA 30 YR BOND YIELD: 3.05%/
EURO/USA DOLLAR CROSS: 1.1469 ( UP 3 BASIS POINTS)
USA/JAPANESE YEN:108.17 DOWN 0.240 (YEN UP 24 BASIS POINTS/..deadly to yen shorters
.
USA DOLLAR INDEX: 95.60 DOWN 7 cent(s)/
The British pound at 4 pm: Great Britain Pound/USA: 1.2868 UP 35 POINTS FROM YESTERDAY
the Turkish lira close: 5.4483
the Russian rouble: 67.04 DOWN.15 Roubles against the uSA dollar.( DOWN 15 BASIS POINTS)
Canadian dollar: 1.3276 DOWN 13 BASIS pts
USA/CHINESE YUAN (CNY) : 6.7681 (ONSHORE)
USA/CHINESE YUAN(CNH): 6.7622 (OFFSHORE)
German 10 yr bond yield at 5 pm: ,0.21%
The Dow closed UP 155.75 POINTS OR 0.65%
NASDAQ closed UP 117.92 POINTS OR 1.71%
VOLATILITY INDEX: 18.31 CLOSED down 0.76
LIBOR 3 MONTH DURATION: 2.778% .LIBOR RATES ARE RISING/
FROM 2.787
And now your more important USA stories which will influence the price of gold/silver
TRADING IN GRAPH FORM FOR THE DAY/WEEKLY SUMMARY/FOLLOWED BY TODAY
Entire ‘Market’ Rallies On NFLX Price-Hike – Shrugs Off Dimon, May, & Grassley
The House of Commons to Theresa May…
…
China stimulus chatter prompted some excitement, lifting Chinese stocks from Monday losses…
European stocks opened excitedly (China), faded notably, then ramped after US opened to close in the green for the day (leaving DAX and CAC unch for the week)…
Quite a day in US markets…
Overnight headlines on China stimulus juiced futures to start which then faded as Europe opened…
JPM earnings disappointment (along with WFC) dragged stocks lower into the open but a Netflix price hike prompted panic buying which was then dumped as Senator Grassley confessed “little progress” in China trade talks… but by then the machines had made up their mind and we ramped to the day’s highs once again ahead of the Brexit vote. Stocks tanked as voting began and seemed triggered on a failed amendment as algos got confused. The Brexit deal was rejected (historically so), but stocks did not bounce back)…
Some serious buying program stepped in again after 3pmET (highest TICK in a week) after some selling on May’s defeat…
Nasdaq managed to get back above its 50DMA but none of the other majors did…
The S&P’s 61.8% retrace of the December drop and the 50DMA are in the same neighborhood here with strong trendline resistance also…
NFLX announced price3-hikes and investors panic bid the stock (and dragged all FANG and Nasdaq higher)…NFLX is up 32% tear-to-date!!!
JPM managed to mimic Citi’s moves yesterday as it ramped into the green during the day session after pre-market losses…
Citi is now up 18% year-to-date…
VIX was crushed again (to a 17 handle intraday) but credit did not play along)…
Modest shifts in Treasuries today with the long-end underperforming…
30Y Yields are back at their highest since
The dollar surged overnight and extended its gains into the Brexit vote – then as cable squeezed back higher, the dollar sank…
Yuan tumbled, extending losses after Chuck Grassley’s comments on China trade talk progress…
Cable slid all day long into the Brexit vote and bounced back into the green after as Corbyn called for a confidence vote (expected to lose) and May suggested a softer approach of reaching across the aisle (we suspect just simple over-positioning more likely for the squeeze)…
Cryptos were holding in before collapsing into the US equity close…
WTI ramped back to unchanged today as copper rallied on China stimulus, PMs limped a little lower as the dollar rallied…
Finally, we are worried – during his usual morning ramble today, CNBC’s Jim Cramer sounded a lot like 2007 Jim Cramer…
“JPMorgan is a one-off”…
“…we’re not going into recession”…
“…those who sold JPM at 97 are first class morons”
And that did not end well last time…
And this is probably nothing…
market trading/
After being up in the early morning, Chuck Grassley admitted that there was little progress in the latest Chinese trade talks. I have been telling you that there will be no deal struck between China and the uSA
(courtesy zero hedge)
Stocks Plunge After Grassley Admits “Little Progress” In China Trade Talks
Well that de-escalated quickly…
JPMorgan’s losses weighed on the indices but NFLX price-hike sparked an opening buying frenzy… but that is all gone now as Senator Chuck Grassley said thatUSTR Lighthizer saw little progress in last week’s China trade talks on structural issues or IP protections.
Stocks tanked…
Grassley says Lighthizer made the comments to him on Friday during a meeting about Soybean purchases.
end
market data/
This is a major surprise: our crooked friends over at JPMorgan miss on the earnings and revenue . It seems that the entire globe is having trouble
(courtesy zerohedge)
USA ECONOMIC STORIES OF INTEREST
Los Angeles sees it’s first teacher strike in 30 years as 30,000 teachers were not in their classrooms and instead were picketing, It will impact 480,000 students.
(courtesy zerohedge)
SWAMP STORIES
Today, we have the hearings for the new AG. Barr states that there is no “witch hunt” against Trump but he is shocked by the texts of FBI agents. I think this is grandstanding..he will make his move once he is confirmed.
(courtesy zerohedge)
[CA Gov.] Gavin Newsom budget calls for drinking water tax to help poor communities
https://www.sacbee.com/news/politics-government/capitol-alert/article224239685.html
John Solomon: Rosenstein, DOJ exploring ways to more easily spy on journalists – For months now, the Department of Justice quietly has been working on a revision to its guidelines governing how, when and why prosecutors can obtain the records of journalists, particularly in leak cases… Multiple sources familiar with the ongoing DOJ review tell me that it has two main goals. The first is to lower the threshold that prosecutors must meet before requesting subpoenas for journalists’ records; the second is to eliminate the need to alert a media organization that Justice intends to issue a subpoena… https://thehill.com/opinion/judiciary/425189-rosenstein-doj-exploring-ways-to-more-easily-spy-on-journalists#.XDy0Q2Kq2fE.twitter
ABC’s Jon Karl: People Close to Mueller Say His Report ‘Certain to Be Anti-Climactic’
Missing: Key Documents about Alleged Misconduct by Robert Mueller’s Lead Prosecutor
Mueller led the FBI at the time of the Enron prosecutions and was surely well aware of Weissmann’s modus operandi when he brought him on board as his lead prosecutor. It is facts like these that lead many on the right to question the integrity of the special counsel probe.
Turkey finishes construction of 764-km security wall on Syria border – as part of Turkey’s measures to increase border security and combat smuggling and illegal border crossings…
end
Thanks Harvey have a great night
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