Gold:1335.80 DOWN $6.70
Silver 19.67 DOWN 31 cents
In the access market 5:15 pm
Gold: 1336.25
Silver: 19.71
For the August gold contract month, we had a small sized 1101 notices served upon for 110,100 ounces. The total number of notices filed so far for delivery: 12,780 for 1,278,000 oz or tonnes or 39.7511 tonnes. The total amount of gold standing for August is 43.9 tonnes.
In silver we had 0 notices served upon for nil oz. The total number of notices filed so far this month: 274 for 1,370,000 oz.
Let us have a look at the data for today
.
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In silver, the total open interest FELL BY A LARGE 3,864 contracts DOWN to 208,328 YET STILL CLOSE AN ALL TIME NEW ALL TIME RECORD AS THE PRICE OF SILVER FELL BY 15 CENTS WITH YESTERDAY’S TRADING.In ounces, the OI is still represented by just over 1 BILLION oz i.e. 1.041 BILLION TO BE EXACT or 149% of annual global silver production (ex Russia &ex China).
In silver we had 0 notices served upon for nil oz
In gold, the total comex gold FELL 2,355 contracts as the price of gold FELL by $1.80 YESTERDAY. The total gold OI stands at 571,993 contracts.
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With respect to our two criminal funds, the GLD and the SLV:
GLD
we had no changes in GLD/
Total gold inventory rest tonight at: 972.62 tonnes
SLV
we had no changes in the SLV, / THE SLV/Inventory rests at: 351.765 million oz.
First, here is an outline of what will be discussed tonight:
1. Today, we had the open interest in silver FELL by 3,864 contracts DOWN to 208,328 as price of silver FELL BY 15 cents with YESTERDAY’S trading.The gold open interest FELL 2,355 contracts DOWN to 571,993 as the price of gold FELL by $1.80 WITH YESTERDAY’S TRADING.
2 a) Gold/silver trading overnight Europe, Goldcore
(Mark OByrne/zerohedge
2c) COT report
(Harvey)
3. ASIAN AFFAIRS
i)Late THURSDAY night/FRIDAY morning: Shanghai closed UP 48.03 POINTS OR 1.60%/ /Hang Sang closed UP 186.36 points or 0.83%. The Nikkei closed UP 184.80 POINTS OR 1.10% Australia’s all ordinaires CLOSED UP 0.42% Chinese yuan (ONSHORE) closed DOWN at 6.6466/Oil rose to 43.35 dollars per barrel for WTI and 45.88 for Brent. Stocks in Europe: in the red . Offshore yuan trades 6.6557 yuan to the dollar vs 6.6466 for onshore yuan.THE SPREAD BETWEEN ONSHORE AND OFFSHORE WIDENS AS MORE USA DOLLARS LEAVING THEIR SHORES
REPORT ON JAPAN SOUTH KOREA AND CHINA
a) REPORT ON JAPAN
none today
b) REPORT ON CHINA
All 3 areas of growth in China faltered last night:
Industrial Production, Retail sales and Fixed Asset Investment. Bond yields in China tumbled: to 2.65% on the 10 yr Chinese bond
(courtesy zero hedge)
4 EUROPEAN AFFAIRS
Italy
This is big news. Italy has increased its public national debt by 77 billion euros. The new public debt is 2.50 trillion euros. Its new Debt/GDP: 141%
(courtesy zerohedge)
5. RUSSIAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN AFFAIRS
Saudi Arabia
Saudi Arabia is in a real mess as dollars are a scarcity inside the kingdom due to the low price of oil. They cannot pay any of the construction workers for months:
(courtesy Upadhyay/OilPrice.com)
Tensions escalate to the highest degree in the Crimea:
Two important developments:
1. War games initiated in the Black Sea
2. Russia to deploy the big S 400 defense missile system to the Crimea.
looks like we will be heading to Defcon 1 in no time;
( zerohedge)
Ukraine/Russia
Poroshenko is preparing to attack the Donbass and Crimea. Great reason for our banker friends to whack gold/silver at 12:00 noon once London was put to bed.
(Alexander Mercouris/the Duran)
6.GLOBAL ISSUES
none today
7.OIL ISSUES
i)Crude spikes to 3 week high after a monstrous increase in open interest
Funny, it does not work for silver like it does for oil:
( zero hedge)
ii)Then late in the day, oil slides as rig counts continue to rise
( zero hedge)
8.EMERGING MARKETS
none today
9.PHYSICAL STORIES
i)A history lesson on the Bretton Woods format where the dollar was convertible into gold. It could not last: the USA was losing too much gold as countries turned in their dollars for this ancient relic.
( Ben Steil/MarketWatch)
ii)Interesting: investment demand for gold even surpasses jewelry demand
( Boyle/CNBC/GATA./
iii)Turd Ferguson (Craig Hemkie) comments on the hughe higher TED spread. The Ted spread is a measure of the 3 month interest rate that banks loan to each other vs government 3 month rates. The higher rate means stress to the system. Hemke states also that the higher TED spreads cause markets to falter but also paper gold will be well bid
( Craig Hemke/TFMetals)
iv)Julian Phillips correctly comments on the paper gold market on this side of the pond and the physical gold market in Shanghai. For the past few days, the world has ignored the Shanghai gold fix which was much higher than the fraudulent manipulation in the paper comex.
China wishes to become dominant and they will force their way,even if they have to destroy the comex while doing so
( Julian Phillips/Bullionvault)
10.USA STORIES WHICH MAY INFLUENCE THE PRICE OF GOLD/SILVER
i)Three reports both indicating that the economy is faltering:
1. Producer Prices unexpectedly slide -0.4% as prices for clothing jewelry and beef tumble
2. Core Retail sales tumble to -.4%
both of these poor economic reports will cause the Fed to slow down its thinking to raise rates:
First PPI
( zero hedge)
ii)Second: Retail sales
Core retail sales fall dramatically to -.1% (see graph below). The entire retail sector shows a small gain year over year of only 2.3% and this usually signals a deep recession:
( zero hedge)
iii) Third: Business inventories to sales ratio:
The all important Business inventories to sales ratio falls slightly to 1.39 but still mired deep in recession mode:
(courtesy zero hedge)
CLINTON FOUNDATION INVESTIGATION
two stories
iv)Par for the course; the Justice department has prevented a FBI probe of the Clinton foundation as reporters report on stonewalling
( zerohedge)
v) Do we have an FBI mutiny with respect to Hillary? The Attorney General’s office in NY is formally investigating the Clinton Foundation who has their offices in New York.
( zero hedge)
Let us head over to the comex:
The total gold comex open interest FELL TO AN OI level of 571,993 for a LOSS of 2355 contracts AS THE PRICE OF GOLD FELL BY $1.80 with YESTERDAY’S TRADING.. We are now in the active month of AUGUST. As I stated this month : “Somebody big is continually standing for the gold metal and continues to do so in August in the same manner as we witnessed in May, June and July whereby the front delivery month increases in OI standing for metal or a slight contraction We will no doubt see increases in amount standing in August and probably we will surpass the amount standing on first day notice. The big active contract month of August saw it’s OI FALL by 87 contracts DOWN to 2383, We had 34 notices filed upon yesterday so we LOST A TINY 53 contracts or an additional 5300 oz will not stand for delivery in August. The next contract month of Sept saw it’s OI fall by 106 contracts down to 5,213.The September contract STILL remains extremely elevated and we may have another of those high deliveries rare for a non active month.The next active delivery month is October and here the OI fell by 311 contracts down to 46,990. The estimated volume today (which is just comex sales during regular business hours of 8:20 until 1:30 pm est) was good at 252,031. The confirmed volume yesterday (which includes the volume during regular business hours + access market sales the previous day was FAIR at 174,256 contracts.The comex is not in backwardation.
Today, we had 1101 notices filed for 110,100 oz in gold
And now for the wild silver comex results. Total silver OI FELL by 3,864 contracts from 212,192 DOWN TO 208.328 with the FALL in price of silver to the tune of 15 cents. We are moving away from the all time record high for silver open interest set ON Wednesday AUGUST 3: (224,540). The non active month of August saw it’s OI remain constant at 190 for a loss of zero contracts. We had 0 notices served yesterday so we gained 0 contracts or an additional nil oz will stand in this non active delivery month of August. The next big active month is September and here the OI fell by 8,194 contracts down to 111,282. The volume on the comex today (just comex) came in at 84,319 which is huge and small rollovers..The confirmed volume yesterday (comex + globex) was HUGE at 90,921 with tiny rollovers.. Silver is not in backwardation. London is in backwardation for several months.
We had 0 notices filed for today for nil oz
INITIAL standings for AUGUST
August 12.
Gold |
Ounces
|
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory in oz |
nil OZ |
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory in oz nil |
771.600
24 KILOBARS
|
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory in oz |
nil |
Deposits to the Customer Inventory, in oz |
nil
|
No of oz served (contracts) today |
1101 notices
110,100 oz
|
No of oz to be served (notices) |
1282 contracts
(128,200 oz)
|
Total monthly oz gold served (contracts) so far this month |
12,780 contracts (1,278,000 oz)
(39.7511 tonnes)
|
Total accumulative withdrawals of gold from the Dealers inventory this month |
NIL |
Total accumulative withdrawal of gold from the Customer inventory this month |
198,941.7 OZ |
Today: TINY activity at the gold comex AND 1 KILOBAR ENTRY
Today we had 0 dealer DEPOSIT
total dealer deposit: NIL 0z
Today we had 0 dealer withdrawals:
total dealer withdrawals: nil oz
We had 1 customer deposit:
i) Out of SCOTIA:771.600 OZ (24 KILOBARS)
Total customer deposits: 771.600 oz
Today we had 1 CUSTOMER withdrawals
i) Out of SCOTIA: 15,305.82 OZ
Total customer withdrawals 15,305.82 OZ
Today we had 1 adjustment:
i) out of SCOTIA: 1890.27 oz was adjusted out of the dealer and this landed into the customer account of Scotia. (deemed a settlement)
Note: If anybody is holding any gold at the comex, you must be out of your mind!!!
since comex gold storage is unallocated , rest assured any gold stored will be compromised!
Today, 0 notices was issued from JPMorgan dealer account and 0 notices were issued from their client or customer account. The total of all issuance by all participants equates to 1101 contracts of which 6 notices was stopped (received) by JPMorgan dealer and 834 notices was stopped (received) by JPMorgan customer account.
To calculate the initial total number of gold ounces standing for the AUGUST contract month, we take the total number of notices filed so far for the month (12780) x 100 oz or 1,278,000 oz , to which we add the difference between the open interest for the front month of AUGUST (2383 CONTRACTS) minus the number of notices served upon today (1101) x 100 oz x 100 oz per contract equals 1,406,200 oz, the number of ounces standing in this active month.
Thus the INITIAL standings for gold for the AUGUST contract month:
No of notices served so far (12780) x 100 oz or ounces + {OI for the front month (2383) minus the number of notices served upon today (1101) x 100 oz which equals 1,406,200 oz standing in this non active delivery month of AUGUST (43.738 tonnes).
We lost 9 contracts or additional 900 oz will not stand for metal in this active month of August.
Since the comex allows GLD shares to be used for settling, it may take quite a while for the physical gold to enter the comex vaults. So far I have seen little evidence of any settling of contracts but I will continue to monitor it for you.
We now have partial evidence of gold settling for last months deliveries We now have + 6.889 TONNES FOR MAY + 49.09 TONNES FOR JUNE + 21.452 TONNES FOR JULY + 12.3917 + 43.738 tonnes Aug + tonnes (April) +2.2311 tonnes (March) + 7.99 (total Feb)- .940 (probable delivery on March 1) tonnes -.0434 tonnes (March 11,12,17,18) + March 31: 1.2470 and then April 1,2: – .0006 tonnes and last week April 16.3203 and April 22 .(0009 tonnes) + april 29 .205 tonnes + May 5: 3.799 and May 6: 1.607 tonnes –MAY 12 .0003- May 18: 1.5635 tonnes-May 19/ 2.535 tonnes-May 27 .0185 – .024 TONNES MAY 31 -jUNE 4: .5044 ; june 10 -.0008 / June 22:0.48 tonnes /June 23: 0489 tonnes, June 24..018; june 29 .036 tonnes; JUNE 30 2.49 /july 1 1778 tonnes, JULY 28 .089 TONNES / JULY 29 .128 TONNES/ aUG 10// 0.219 TONNES/August 11: .3619 TONNES/ AUG 12/.05878/THEREFORE 93.516 tonnes still standing against 73.425 tonnes available.
Total dealer inventor 2,360,613.931 oz or 73.425 tonnes
Total gold inventory (dealer and customer) =11,235,231.907 or 349.462 tonnes
Several months ago the comex had 303 tonnes of total gold. Today the total inventory rests at 349.462 tonnes for a gain of 47 tonnes over that period.
THE GOLD COMEX IS AN ABSOLUTE FRAUD. THE USE OF KILOBARS AND EXACT WEIGHTS MAKES THE DATA TOTALLY ABSURD AND FRAUDULENT!!
To me, the only thing that makes sense is the fact that “kilobars” are entries or hypothecated gold sent to other jurisdictions so that they will not be short in their derivatives like in England. This would be similar to the gold used by Jon Corzine. If this is the case, this would be the greatest fraud perpetrated on USA soil.
end
And now for silver
AUGUST INITIAL standings
Silver |
Ounces
|
Withdrawals from Dealers Inventory |
NIL |
Withdrawals from Customer Inventory |
SCOTIA,CNT,
BRINKS
|
Deposits to the Dealer Inventory |
nil
|
Deposits to the Customer Inventory |
1,821,976.471 oz
BRINKS,SCOTIA
HSBC
|
No of oz served today (contracts) |
0 CONTRACTS
(nil OZ)
|
No of oz to be served (notices) |
190 contracts
950,000 oz)
|
Total monthly oz silver served (contracts) |
274 contracts (1,370,000 oz) |
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Dealers inventory this month |
NIL oz |
Total accumulative withdrawal of silver from the Customer inventory this month |
7,651,354.1 oz |
today we had 0 deposit into the dealer account:
Total dealer deposits; NIL oz
we had 0 dealer withdrawal:
:
total dealer withdrawals: NIL oz
we had 3 customer withdrawals:
i) Out of SCOTIA: 60,165.820 oz
ii) Out of Brinks: 21,201.900 oz
iii) Out of CNT: 301,571.400 oz
Total customer withdrawals: 382,939.100 oz
We had 3 customer deposits:
i) Into Brinks: 600,181.970 oz
ii) Into Scotia: 643,350.700 oz
iii) Into HSBC: 578,443.801 oz
total customer deposits: 1,779,717.500 oz
The total number of notices filed today for the AUGUST contract month is represented by 0 contract for nil oz. To calculate the number of silver ounces that will stand for delivery in AUGUST., we take the total number of notices filed for the month so far at (274) x 5,000 oz = 1,370,000 oz to which we add the difference between the open interest for the front month of AUGUST (190) and the number of notices served upon today (0) x 5000 oz equals the number of ounces standing
Thus the initial standings for silver for the AUGUST contract month: 274(notices served so far)x 5000 oz +(190 OI for front month of AUGUST ) -number of notices served upon today (0)x 5000 oz equals 2,320,000 oz of silver standing for the AUGUST contract month.
we gained 0 contracts or an additional nil oz will stand for delivery in this non active month of August.
Total dealer silver: 27.485 million (close to record low inventory
Total number of dealer and customer silver: 156.033 million oz (close to a record low)
The total open interest on silver is NOW close to its all time high with the record of 224,540 being set AUGUST 3.2016. The registered silver (dealer silver) is NOW NEAR multi year lows as silver is being drawn out at both dealer and customer levels and heading to China and other destinations. The shear movement of silver into and out of the vaults signify that something is going on in silver.
At 3:30 pm we receive the COT report which gives us position levels of our major players
Let us head over to the gold COT as see what we can glean from it:
Gold COT
Gold COT Report – Futures |
Large Speculators |
Commercial |
Total |
Long |
Short |
Spreading |
Long |
Short |
Long |
Short |
356,471 |
70,024 |
50,020 |
116,251 |
429,192 |
522,742 |
549,236 |
Change from Prior Reporting Period |
-9,330 |
-1,594 |
1,972 |
2,340 |
-8,746 |
-5,018 |
-8,368 |
Traders |
199 |
90 |
87 |
54 |
59 |
297 |
197 |
|
|
Small Speculators |
|
|
|
|
Long |
Short |
Open Interest |
|
|
|
52,657 |
26,163 |
575,399 |
|
|
|
-1,794 |
1,556 |
-6,812 |
|
|
|
non reportable positions |
Change from the previous reporting period |
|
COT Gold Report – Positions as of |
Tuesday, August 09, 2016 |
Our large specs:
Those large specs that have been long in gold pitched a huge 9330 contracts from their long side (as of this past Tuesday)
Those large specs that have been short in gold covered 1594 contracts from their short side. (large specs were fleeced again)
Our commercials:
Those commercials that have been long in gold added 2340 contracts to their long side
Those commercials that have been short in gold covered a large 8746 contracts.
the crooks did their deed again
Our small specs
those small specs that have been long in gold pitched 1794 contracts from their long side
those small specs that have been short in gold added 1556 contracts to their short side
Remember that we had a huge whacking of gold last Friday after the jobs report and the crooked bankers caused the landslide from which they covered hugely
they should go to jail along with Hillary.
Conclusions; commercials go net long by 10,000 contracts and thus bullish for gold
And now for our silver COT:
Silver COT Report: Futures |
Large Speculators |
Commercial |
Long |
Short |
Spreading |
Long |
Short |
122,165 |
31,101 |
14,537 |
47,020 |
150,331 |
-511 |
1,859 |
-9,954 |
-2,103 |
-7,913 |
Traders |
113 |
56 |
51 |
34 |
41 |
Small Speculators |
Open Interest |
Total |
Long |
Short |
210,647 |
Long |
Short |
26,925 |
14,678 |
183,722 |
195,969 |
-1,325 |
2,115 |
-13,893 |
-12,568 |
-16,008 |
non reportable positions |
Positions as of: |
174 |
128 |
|
Tuesday, August 09, 2016 |
© SilverSeek.co |
Those large specs that have been long in silver did not want to part with their contracts as they lost only 511 contracts.
Those large specs that have been short in silver strangely added 1859 contracts to their short side.
Our commercials;
Those commercials that have been long in silver pitched 2103 contracts from their long side
those commercials that have been short in silver covered 7913 contracts from their short side
Our small specs:
those small specs that have been long in silver pitched 1325 contracts from their long side.
those small specs that have been short in silver added 2115 contracts to their short side.
Conclusions;
our banker commercials go net long by 5700 contracts. and that is bullish
And now the Gold inventory at the GLD
August 12/no change in gold inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 972.62 tonnes
August 11/no changes in gold inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 972.62 tonnes
August 10/no changes in GLD/Inventory rests at 972.62 tonnes
August 9/we had a withdrawal of 1.18 tonnes of gold from the GLD inventory/inventory rests at 972.62 tonnes
August 8/a huge changes in the GLD/Inventory, a withdrawal of 6.54 tonnes of paper gold/ rests at 973.80 tonnes of gold/
August 5/ a huge deposit of 10.69 tonnes of gold (with gold down $22.40??)/GLD inventory rests at 980.34 tonnes
August 4/no change in inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 969.65 tonnes
August 3/a big deposit of 5.62 tonnes of paper gold/Inventory rests at 969.65 tonnes
August 2/no change in gold inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 964.03 tonnes
August 1/we had a huge paper deposit of 5.94 tonnes of gold into the GLD/Inventory rests at 964.03 tonnes
July 29/ we had a huge deposit of 3.86 tonnes into the GLD/inventory rests at 958.09 tonnes
July 28/no changes in gold inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 954.23 tonnes
July 27/NO CHANGES IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 954.23 TONNES
jULY 26./ANOTHER HUGE PAPER WITHDRAWAL OF 4.46 TONNES FROM THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 954.23 TONNES
JULY 25/ A HUGE PAPER WITHDRAWAL OF 4.45 TONNES FROM THE GLD/INVENTORY RESTS AT 958.69 TONNES
July 22/ no change in gold inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 963.14 tonnes
July 21/ a large withdrawal of gold inventory to the tune of 2.08 tonnes/Inventory rests at 963.14 tonnes
July 20./no changes in gold inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 965.22 tonese
July 19/no change in gold inventory at the GLD/Inventory rests at 965.22 tonnes
July 18./ a good sized deposit of 2.37 tonnes of gld into GLD/this is a paper gold entry/inventory rests at 965.22 tonnese
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August 12/ Inventory rests tonight at 972.62 tonnes
Now the SLV Inventory
August 12/no change in silver inventory at the SLV/Inventory rests at 351.765 oz
August 11/no change in silver inventory at the SLV/Inventory rests at 351.765 oz
August 10/no changes in silver inventory at the SLV/Inventory rests at 351.765 oz
August 9/a deposit of 950,000 oz into the SLV/Inventory rests at 351.765 oz
August 8/no change in silver inventory at the SLV/Inventory rests at 350.815 million oz.
August 4/no change in silver inventory at the SLV/inventory rests at 350.815 million oz
August 3/no change in silver inventory/inventory rests at 350.815 million oz
August 2/ we had a tiny withdrawal of 40,000 oz of silver/Inventory rests at 350.815 million oz
August 1/we had a huge paper deposit of 1.235 million oz into the SLV/Inventory rests at 350.955 million oz
July 29/we had no change in silver inventory/inventory rests at 349.720 million oz
July 28/we had 1.14 million oz of additional silver added to the SLV/Inventory rests at 349.720 million oz
July 27/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 348.580 MILLION OZ
jULY 26/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE slv/INVENTORY RESTS AT 348.580 MILLION OZ
JULY 25/NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV/INVENTORY RESTS AT 348.580 MILLION OZ
July 22/we had no change in silver inventory at the SLV.Inventory rests at 348.580 million oz/
July 21/no change in silver inventory at the SLV/Inventory rests at 348.580 million oz
July 20/no change in silver inventory at the SLV/Inventory rests at 348.580 million oz
July 19/no change in silver inventory at the SLV/Inventory rests at 348.580 million oz
July 18/no change in silver inventory at he SLV/inventory restss at 348.580 million oz
.
August 12.2016: Inventory 351.765 million oz
NPV for Sprott and Central Fund of Canada
1. Central Fund of Canada: traded at Negative 5.6 percent to NAV usa funds and Negative 5.4% to NAV for Cdn funds!!!! (the discount is starting to disappear)
Percentage of fund in gold 59.4%
Percentage of fund in silver:39.4%
cash .+1.2%( August 12/2016).
2. Sprott silver fund (PSLV): Premium falls to +1.31%!!!! NAV (august 12/2016)
3. Sprott gold fund (PHYS): premium to NAV falls TO 0.65% to NAV ( august 12/2016)
Note: Sprott silver trust back into POSITIVE territory at +1.31% /Sprott physical gold trust is back into positive territory at 0.65%/Central fund of Canada’s is still in jail.