GOLD: $1243.00 DOWN $2.00 (COMEX TO COMEX CLOSINGS)
Silver: $14.77 UP 2 CENTS (COMEX TO COMEX CLOSING)
Closing access prices:
Gold : 1242.90
silver: $14.76
For comex gold and silver:
DEC
Again, we have Goldman Sachs dealer and JPMorgan customer account stopping (receiving the gold) 49/71 contracts.
EXCHANGE: COMEX
CONTRACT: DECEMBER 2018 COMEX 100 GOLD FUTURES
SETTLEMENT: 1,244.400000000 USD
INTENT DATE: 12/12/2018 DELIVERY DATE: 12/14/2018
FIRM ORG FIRM NAME ISSUED STOPPED
____________________________________________________________________________________________
072 H GOLDMAN 36
323 C HSBC 4
657 C MORGAN STANLEY 1
661 C JP MORGAN 13
690 C ABN AMRO 24
737 C ADVANTAGE 45 12
800 C RCG 2 2
905 C ADM 3
____________________________________________________________________________________________
TOTAL: 71 71
MONTH TO DATE: 7,208
NUMBER OF NOTICES FILED TODAY FOR DEC CONTRACT: 71 NOTICE(S) FOR 7100 OZ (0.2208 tonnes)
SILVER
FOR DECEMBER
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
279 NOTICE(S) FILED TODAY FOR 1395,000 OZ/
Total number of notices filed so far this month: 3873 for 19,365,000 oz
XXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXXX
Bitcoin: OPENING MORNING TRADE $3404: DOWN 22
Bitcoin: FINAL EVENING TRADE: $3304 down 143
end
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Let us have a look at the data for today
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In silver, the total OPEN INTEREST ROSE BY A GOOD SIZED 1005 CONTRACTS FROM 174,071 UP TO 175,076 WITH YESTERDAY’S 22 CENT GAIN IN SILVER PRICING AT THE COMEX. TODAY WE ARRIVED FURTHER FROM AUGUST’S RECORD SETTING OPEN INTEREST OF 244,196 CONTRACTS.
WE HAVE ALSO WITNESSED A LARGE AMOUNT OF PHYSICAL METAL STAND FOR COMEX DELIVERY AS WE NOW HAVE JUST LESS THAN 20 MILLION OZ STANDING IN DECEMBER. AS WELL WE ARE WITNESSING CONSIDERABLE LONGS PACKING THEIR BAGS AND MIGRATING OVER TO LONDON IN GREATER NUMBERS IN THE FORM OF EFP’S. WE WERE NOTIFIED THAT WE HAD A VERY STRONG SIZED NUMBER OF COMEX LONGS TRANSFERRING THEIR CONTRACTS TO LONDON THROUGH THE EFP:
2446 EFP’S FOR DECEMBER AND 0 FOR MARCH AND ZERO FOR ALL OTHER MONTHS AND THEREFORE TOTAL ISSUANCE: OF 2446 CONTRACTS. WITH THE TRANSFER OF 2446 CONTRACTS, WHAT THE CME IS STATING IS THAT THERE IS NO SILVER (OR GOLD) TO BE DELIVERED UPON AT THE COMEX AS THEY MUST EXPORT THEIR OBLIGATION TO LONDON. ALSO KEEP IN MIND THAT THERE CAN BE A DELAY OF 24-48 HRS IN THE ISSUING OF EFP’S. THE 2446 EFP CONTRACTS TRANSLATES INTO 12.23 MILLION OZ ACCOMPANYING:
1.THE 22 CENT GAIN IN SILVER PRICE AT THE COMEX AND
2. THE STRONG AMOUNT OF SILVER OUNCES WHICH STOOD FOR DELIVERY IN THE LAST SIX MONTHS:
JUNE/2018. (5.420 MILLION OZ);
FOR JULY: 30.370 MILLION OZ
FOR AUG., 6.065 MILLION OZ
FOR SEPT. 39.505 MILLION OZ S
FOR OCT.2.525 MILLION OZ.
FOR NOV: A HUGE 7.440 MILLION OZ STANDING FOR NOVEMBER AND
NOW 20.730 INITIALLY STAND FOR DECEMBER.
ACCUMULATION FOR EFP’S/SILVER/J.P.MORGAN’S HOUSE OF BRIBES, / STARTING FROM FIRST DAY NOTICE/FOR MONTH OF DEC: 16,394 CONTRACTS (FOR 9 TRADING DAYS TOTAL 16.394 CONTRACTS) OR 81.97 MILLION OZ: (AVERAGE PER DAY: 1821 CONTRACTS OR 9.107 MILLION OZ/DAY)
TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA AS TO THE HUGE SUPPLY THIS MONTH IN SILVER: SO FAR THIS MONTH OF DEC: 81,97 MILLION PAPER OZ HAVE MORPHED OVER TO LONDON. THIS REPRESENTS AROUND 11.71% OF ANNUAL GLOBAL PRODUCTION (EX CHINA EX RUSSIA)* JUNE’S 345.43 MILLION OZ IS THE SECOND HIGHEST RECORDED ISSUANCE OF EFP’S AND IT FOLLOWED THE RECORD SET IN APRIL 2018 OF 385.75 MILLION OZ.
ACCUMULATION IN YEAR 2018 TO DATE SILVER EFP’S: 2,759.03 MILLION OZ.
ACCUMULATION FOR JAN 2018: 236.879 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR FEB 2018: 244.95 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR MARCH 2018: 236.67 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR APRIL 2018: 385.75 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR MAY 2018: 210.05 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR JUNE 2018: 345.43 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR JULY 2018: 172.84 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR AUGUST 2018: 205.23 MILLION OZ.
ACCUMULATION FOR SEPTEMBER 2018: 167,05 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR OCTOBER 2018: 224.875 MILLION OZ
ACCUMULATION FOR NOVEMBER /2018: 247.18 MILLION OZ
RESULT: WE HAD A GOOD SIZED INCREASE IN COMEX OI SILVER COMEX CONTRACTS OF 1005 DWITH THE 22 CENT GAIN IN SILVER PRICING AT THE COMEX //YESTERDAY.. AS THE BOYS CONTINUE WITH THEIR CUSTOMARY MIGRATION OVER TO ETFS AT THE START OF AN ACTIVE DELIVERY MONTH. THE CME NOTIFIED US THAT WE HAD A STRONG SIZED EFP ISSUANCE OF 2446 CONTRACTS WHICH EXITED OUT OF THE SILVER COMEX AND TRANSFERRED THEIR OI TO LONDON AS FORWARDS. SPECULATORS CONTINUED THEIR INTEREST IN ATTACKING THE SILVER COMEX FOR PHYSICAL SILVER (SEE COMEX DATA) .
TODAY WE GAINED A GOOD SIZED: 3451 TOTAL OI CONTRACTS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES:
i.e 2246 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS HEADED FOR LONDON (EFP’s) TOGETHER WITH INCREASE OF 1005 OI COMEX CONTRACTS. AND ALL OF THIS DEMAND HAPPENED WITH A 22 CENT RISE IN PRICE OF SILVER AND A CLOSING PRICE OF $14.75 WITH RESPECT TO YESTERDAY’S TRADING. YET WE HAD A GIGANTIC AMOUNT OF SILVER STANDING AT THE COMEX FOR DELIVERY
In ounces AT THE COMEX, the OI is still represented by JUST UNDER 1 BILLION oz i.e. .875 BILLION OZ TO BE EXACT or 125% of annual global silver production (ex Russia & ex China).
FOR THE NEW FRONT DEC MONTH/ THEY FILED AT THE COMEX: 279 NOTICE(S) FOR 1,395,000 OZ OF SILVER
IN SILVER,PRIOR TO TODAY, WE SET THE NEW COMEX RECORD OF OPEN INTEREST AT 243,411 CONTRACTS ON APRIL 9.2018. AND AGAIN THIS HAS BEEN SET WITH A LOW PRICE OF $16.51.
AND NOW WE RECORD FOR POSTERITY ANOTHER ALL TIME RECORD OPEN INTEREST AT THE COMEX OF 244,196 CONTRACTS ON AUGUST 22/2018 AND AGAIN WHEN THIS RECORD WAS SET, THE PRICE OF SILVER WAS $14.78 AND LOWER IN PRICE THAN PREVIOUS RECORDS.
ON THE DEMAND SIDE WE HAVE THE FOLLOWING:
- HUGE AMOUNTS OF SILVER STANDING FOR DELIVERY (MARCH/2018: 27 MILLION OZ , APRIL/2018 : 2.485 MILLION OZ MAY: 36.285 MILLION OZ ; JUNE/2018 (5.420 MILLION OZ) , JULY 2018 FINAL AMOUNT STANDING: 30.370 MILLION OZ ) FOR AUGUST 6.065 MILLION OZ. , SEPT: A HUGE 39.505 MILLION OZ./ OCTOBER: 2,520,000 oz NOV AT 7.440 MILLION OZ./AND NOW DEC. AT 20.730 MILLION OZ
- HUGE RECORD OPEN INTEREST IN SILVER 243,411 CONTRACTS (OR 1.217 BILLION OZ/ SET APRIL 9/2018) AND NOW AUGUST 22/2018: 244,196 CONTRACTS, WITH A SILVER PRICE OF $14.78.
- HUGE ANNUAL EFP’S ISSUANCE EQUAL TO 2.9 BILLION OZ OR 400% OF SILVER ANNUAL PRODUCTION/2017
- RECORD SETTING EFP ISSUANCE FOR ANY MONTH IN SILVER; APRIL/2018/ 385.75 MILLION OZ/ AND THE SECOND HIGHEST RECORDED EFP ISSUANCE JUNE 2018 345.43 MILLION OZ
AND YET, WITH THE EXTREMELY HIGH EFP ISSUANCE, WE HAVE A CONTINUAL LOW PRICE OF SILVER DESPITE THE ABOVE HUGE DEMAND. TO ME THE ONLY ANSWER IS THAT WE HAVE SOVEREIGN (CHINA) WHO IS ENDEAVOURING TO GOBBLE UP ALL AVAILABLE PHYSICAL SILVER NO MATTER WHERE, EXACTLY WHAT J.P.MORGAN IS DOING. AND IT IS MY BELIEF THAT J.P.MORGAN IS HOLDING ITS SILVER FOR ITS BENEFICIAL OWNER..THE USA GOVERNMENT WHO IN TURN IS HOLDING THAT SILVER FOR CHINA.(FOR A SILVER LOAN REPAYMENT).
IN GOLD, THE OPEN INTEREST ROSE BY A CONSIDERABLE SIZED 2485 CONTRACTS UP TO 404,735 WITH THE RISE IN THE COMEX GOLD PRICE/(A GAIN IN PRICE OF $3.05//.YESTERDAY’S TRADING)
THE CME RELEASED THE DATA FOR EFP ISSUANCE AND IT TOTALED A STRONG SIZED 11080 CONTRACTS:
DECEMBER HAD AN ISSUANCE OF 11080 CONTACTS AND ALL OTHER MONTHS ZERO. The NEW COMEX OI for the gold complex rests at 404,735. ALSO REMEMBER THAT THERE WILL BE A DELAY IN THE ISSUANCE OF EFP’S. THE BANKERS REMOVE LONG POSITIONS OF COMEX GOLD IMMEDIATELY. THEN THEY ORCHESTRATE THEIR PRIVATE EFP DEAL WITH THE LONGS AND THAT COULD TAKE AN ADDITIONAL, 48 HRS SO WE GENERALLY DO NOT GET A MATCH WITH RESPECT TO DEPARTING COMEX LONGS AND NEW EFP LONG TRANSFERS. . EVEN THOUGH THE BANKERS ISSUED THESE MONSTROUS EFPS, THE OBLIGATION STILL RESTS WITH THE BANKERS TO SUPPLY METAL BUT IT TRANSFERS THE RISK TO A LONDON BANKER OBLIGATION AND NOT A NEW YORK COMEX OBLIGATION. LONGS RECEIVE A FIAT BONUS TOGETHER WITH A LONG LONDON FORWARD. THUS, BY THESE ACTIONS, THE BANKERS AT THE COMEX HAVE JUST STATED THAT THEY HAVE NO APPRECIABLE METAL!! THIS IS A MASSIVE FRAUD: THEY CANNOT SUPPLY ANY METAL TO OUR COMEX LONGS BUT THEY ARE QUITE WILLING TO SUPPLY MASSIVE NON BACKED GOLD (AND SILVER) PAPER KNOWING THAT THEY HAVE NO METAL TO SATISFY OUR LONGS. LONDON IS NOW SEVERELY BACKWARD IN BOTH GOLD AND SILVER AND WE ARE WITNESSING DELAYS IN ACTUAL DELIVERIES.
IN ESSENCE WE HAVE A VERY STRONG SIZED GAIN IN TOTAL CONTRACTS ON THE TWO EXCHANGES OF 13,565 CONTRACTS: 2485 OI CONTRACTS INCREASED AT THE COMEX AND 11080 EFP OI CONTRACTS WHICH NAVIGATED OVER TO LONDON. THUS TOTAL OI GAIN: 13.565 CONTRACTS OR 1,356,500 OZ = 42,19 TONNES. AND ALL OF THIS DEMAND OCCURRED WITH A GAIN IN THE PRICE OF GOLD/ YESTERDAY TO THE TUNE OF $3.05
YESTERDAY, WE HAD 9745 EFP’S ISSUED.
ACCUMULATION OF EFP’S GOLD AT J.P. MORGAN’S HOUSE OF BRIBES: (EXCHANGE FOR PHYSICAL) FOR THE MONTH OF DEC : 76079 CONTRACTS OR 7,607,900 OZ OR 236.63 TONNES (9 TRADING DAYS AND THUS AVERAGING: 8453 EFP CONTRACTS PER TRADING DAY
TO GIVE YOU AN IDEA AS TO THE HUGE SIZE OF THESE EFP TRANSFERS : THIS MONTH IN 9 TRADING DAYS IN TONNES: 236.63 TONNES
TOTAL ANNUAL GOLD PRODUCTION, 2017, THROUGHOUT THE WORLD EX CHINA EX RUSSIA: 2555 TONNES
THUS EFP TRANSFERS REPRESENTS 236.63/2550 x 100% TONNES = 9.27% OF GLOBAL ANNUAL PRODUCTION SO FAR IN JULY ALONE.***
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S YEAR 2018 TO DATE: 7001.01 TONNES *SURPASSED ANNUAL PROD’N
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR JANUARY 2018: 653.22 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR FEBRUARY 2018: 649.45 TONNES (20 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR MARCH 2018: 741.89 TONNES (22 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR APRIL 2018: 713.84 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP’S FOR MAY 2018: 693.80 TONNES ( 22 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP FOR JUNE 2018 650.71 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP FOR JULY 2018 605.5 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP FOR AUG. 2018 488.54 TONNES (23 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP FOR SEPT 2018 470.64 TONNES (19 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP FOR OCT. 2018 543.92 TONNES (23 TRADING DAYS)
ACCUMULATION OF GOLD EFP FOR NOV 2018: 552.88 TONNES (21 TRADING DAYS)
WHAT IS ALARMING TO ME, ACCORDING TO OUR LONDON EXPERT ANDREW MAGUIRE IS THAT THESE EFP’S ARE BEING TRANSFERRED TO WHAT ARE CALLED SERIAL FORWARD CONTRACT OBLIGATIONS AND THESE CONTRACTS ARE LESS THAN 14 DAYS. ANYTHING GREATER THAN 14 DAYS, THESE MUST BE RECORDED AND SENT TO THE COMPTROLLER, GREAT BRITAIN TO MONITOR RISK TO THE BANKING SYSTEM. IF THIS IS INDEED TRUE, THEN THIS IS A MASSIVE CONSPIRACY TO DEFRAUD AS WE NOW WITNESS A MONSTROUS TOTAL EFP’S ISSUANCE AS IT HEADS INTO THE STRATOSPHERE.
Result: A CONSIDERABLE SIZED INCREASE IN OI AT THE COMEX OF 2485 WITH THE GAIN IN PRICING ($3.05) THAT GOLD UNDERTOOK YESTERDAY) //.WE ALSO HAD A HUMONGOUS SIZED NUMBER OF COMEX LONG TRANSFERRING TO LONDON THROUGH THE EFP ROUTE: 11080 CONTRACTS AS THESE HAVE ALREADY BEEN NEGOTIATED AND CONFIRMED. THERE OBVIOUSLY DOES NOT SEEM TO BE MUCH PHYSICAL GOLD AT THE COMEX. I GUESS IT EXPLAINS THE HUGE ISSUANCE OF EFP’S…THERE IS HARDLY ANY GOLD PRESENT AT THE GOLD COMEX FOR DELIVERY PURPOSES. IF YOU TAKE INTO ACCOUNT THE 11080 EFP CONTRACTS ISSUED, WE HAD AN HUMONGOUS GAIN OF 14,788 CONTRACTS IN TOTAL OPEN INTEREST ON THE TWO EXCHANGES:
11080 CONTRACTS MOVE TO LONDON AND 2485 CONTRACTS INCREASED AT THE COMEX. (in tonnes, the GAIN in total oi equates to 42,19 TONNES). ..AND ALL OF THIS DEMAND OCCURRED WITH THE RISE OF $3.05 IN YESTERDAY’S TRADING AT THE COMEX
we had: 71 notice(s) filed upon for 7100 oz of gold at the comex.
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With respect to our two criminal funds, the GLD and the SLV:
GLD...
WITH GOLD DOWN $2.00 TODAY
NO CHANGE IN GOLD INVENTORY AT THE GLD
/GLD INVENTORY 763.56 TONNES
Inventory rests tonight: 763.56 tonnes.
TO ALL INVESTORS THINKING OF BUYING GOLD THROUGH THE GLD ROUTE: YOU ARE MAKING A TERRIBLE MISTAKE AS THE CROOKS ARE USING WHATEVER GOLD COMES IN TO ATTACK BY SELLING THAT GOLD. IT SURE SEEMS TO ME THAT THE GOLD OBLIGATIONS AT THE GLD EXCEED THEIR INVENTORY
SLV/
WITH SILVER UP 2 CENTs TODAY:
NO CHANGE IN SILVER INVENTORY AT THE SLV
/INVENTORY RESTS AT 318.735 MILLION OZ.
end
First, here is an outline of what will be discussed tonight:
1. Today, we had the open interest in SILVER ROSE BY A GOOD SIZED 1005 CONTRACTS from 174,071 DOWN TO 175,076 AND MOVING FURTHER FROM THE NEW COMEX RECORD SET LAST IN AUG.2018 AT 244,196 WITH A SILVER PRICE OF $14.78/(AUGUST 22/2018)..THE PREVIOUS RECORD WAS SET ON APRIL 9/2018 AT 243,411 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS WITH THE SILVER PRICE AT THAT DAY: $16.53). AND PREVIOUS TO THAT, THE RECORD WAS ESTABLISHED AT: 234,787 CONTRACTS, SET ON APRIL 21.2017 OVER 1 1/3 YEARS AGO. THE PRICE OF SILVER ON THAT DAY: $17.89. AS YOU CAN SEE, WE HAVE RECORD HIGH OPEN INTERESTS IN SILVER ACCOMPANIED BY A CONTINUAL LOWER PRICE WHEN THAT RECORD WAS SET…..
.
OUR CUSTOMARY MIGRATION OF COMEX LONGS CONTINUE TO MORPH INTO LONDON FORWARDS AS OUR BANKERS USED THEIR EMERGENCY PROCEDURE TO ISSUE:
2446 CONTRACTS FOR DECEMBER. 0 CONTRACTS FOR MARCH AND AND ALL OTHER MONTHS: ZERO. TOTAL EFP ISSUANCE: 2446 CONTRACTS. EFP’S GIVE OUR COMEX LONGS A FIAT BONUS PLUS A DELIVERABLE PRODUCT OVER IN LONDON. IF WE TAKE THE OI GAIN AT THE COMEX OF 1106 CONTRACTS TO THE 2446 OI TRANSFERRED TO LONDON THROUGH EFP’S, WE OBTAIN A STRONG GAIN OF 3451 OPEN INTEREST CONTRACTS. THUS IN OUNCES, THE GAIN ON THE TWO EXCHANGES: 17.26 MILLION OZ!!! AND YET WE ALSO HAVE A STRONG DEMAND FOR PHYSICAL AS WE WITNESSED A FINAL STANDING OF GREATER THAN 30 MILLION OZ FOR JULY, A STRONG 6.065 MILLION OZ FOR AUGUST.. A HUGE 39.505 MILLION OZ STANDING FOR SILVER IN SEPTEMBER… OVER 2 million OZ STANDING FOR THE NON ACTIVE MONTH OF OCTOBER., 7.440 MILLION OZ FINALLY STANDING IN NOVEMBER. AND NOW 20.730 MILLION OZ STANDING IN DECEMBER.
RESULT: A GOOD SIZED INCREASE IN SILVER OI AT THE COMEX WITH THE 22 CENT PRICING GAIN THAT SILVER UNDERTOOK IN PRICING// YESTERDAY.BUT WE ALSO HAD ANOTHER GOOD SIZED 2446 EFP’S ISSUED TRANSFERRING COMEX LONGS OVER TO LONDON. TOGETHER WITH THE STRONG SIZED AMOUNT OF SILVER OUNCES STANDING FOR SEPTEMBER, DEMAND FOR PHYSICAL SILVER CONTINUES TO INTENSIFY AS WE WITNESS SEVERE BACKWARDATION IN SILVER IN LONDON.
(report Harvey)
.
2.a) The Shanghai and London gold fix report
(Harvey)
2 b) Gold/silver trading overnight Europe, Goldcore
(Mark O’Byrne/zerohedge
and in NY: Bloomberg
3. ASIAN AFFAIRS
i)THURSDAY MORNING/ WEDNESDAY NIGHT:
SHANGHAI CLOSED UP 31.90 POINTS OR 1.23% //Hang Sang CLOSED UP 337.64 POINTS OR 1.29% //The Nikkei closed UP 213.44 OR 0.99%/ Australia’s all ordinaires CLOSED UP 0.14% /Chinese yuan (ONSHORE) closed UP at 6.8811 AS TRUCE DECLARED FOR 3 MONTHS /Oil DOWN to 50.58 dollars per barrel for WTI and 59.62 for Brent. Stocks in Europe OPENED MIXED//. ONSHORE YUAN CLOSED UP AT 6.8764AGAINST THE DOLLAR. OFFSHORE YUAN CLOSED UP ON THE DOLLAR AT 6.8811: HUGE DEVALUATION/PAST SEVERAL DAYS RESUMES// TRADE TALKS NOW ON/MAJOR PROBLEMS AT HUAWEI /CFO ARRESTED : /ONSHORE YUAN TRADING BELOW LEVEL OF OFFSHORE YUAN/ONSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST USA DOLLAR/OFFSHORE YUAN TRADING STRONGER AGAINST THE DOLLAR /CHINA RETALIATES WITH TARIFFS/ TRUMP RESPONDS TO NEW TARIFFS AND IT NOW A FULL TRADE WAR COMMENCED
i
3A/NORTH KOREA/SOUTH KOREA
i)North Korea/South Korea/USA/
b) REPORT ON JAPAN
3 C/ CHINA
i)Another indicator highlighting the growth problems inside China. Today is the total collapse of Chinese auto sales. It is their first decline in 30 years.
( zero hedge)
ii)We now have a second Canadian citizen who has been suddenly “disappeared” in China
4/EUROPEAN AFFAIRS
i)UK
the mess that Gr Britain finds itself today. May returns to Brussels but she will come back empty handed. She will lose a vote of no confidence but there is no Conservative willing to take on the job in this quagmire.
( zerohedge)
ii)ITALY
Not sure of the story but it seems that Italy has revised its budgetary deficit to 2.0% and that sent Italian bonds and their stock market higher. We are also not sure if the EU will accept this. I am surprised that Italy lowered its budgetary deficit in light of what France wants to do: increase its budgetary deficit to 3.5%
( zerohedge)
( zerohedge)
v)GERMANY/MERKEL
seems that the new leader of the CDU is a mirror image of Merkel
( Tom Luongo)
vi)ECB
The ECB today confirms that it will end asset purchases. However it will reinvest maturities in full and that will help Italy for a short time. They will probably do a sell short term bonds and buy long term to also help keep Italian bonds yields low.
( zerohedge)
vii)Tom Luongo explains what is going on in Europe right now with France and England in the centre of things
( Tom Luongo)
viii)Investors were not happy with the key words used by Draghi: there are now “downside risks” and GDP and inflation forecasts have been cut….down goes the Euro
(courtesy zerohedge_
ix)A multi billion hedge fund just reports a record loss (GAM holdings). It is one of Eurpe’s largest alternative money managers. It has frozen withdrawals at some of their bond funds after a huge surge in redemptions.
(courtesy zerohedge)
5. RUSSIAN AND MIDDLE EASTERN AFFAIRS
i)RUSSIA/USA
Butina now admits in court to being a Kremlin agent and it sought to influence politics through the NRA. She has no influence and did not meet Trump or any of their election staff.
( zerohedge)
6. GLOBAL ISSUES
CANADA
7. OIL ISSUES
8 EMERGING MARKET ISSUES
i)Venezuela
Socialism at its finest:
The big Goodyear plant has decided to shutter its sole remaining plant and then as a Christmas bonus it is giving tires out as severance
(courtesy zerohedge)
9. PHYSICAL MARKETS
iii)A good one tonight from bill Holter as he warns be crash alert as we are no doubt facing the huge global margin call
10. USA stories which will influence the price of gold/silver)
MARKET TRADING
ii)Market data/
The following is a very important data point: USA import and export prices plunge with fuel prices one of the culprits. However there is no question that China is sending deflation our way
( zerohedge)
3 Trump tweet storm:
a)Trump distances himself from Cohen
b) threatens GM again
c) hopes the Fed will not hike interest rates any more:
(zerohedge)
iv)SWAMP STORIES
a)Trump claims that he never directed Michael Cohen to break the law. He correctly states that Cohen is a lawyer and he ought to know the law. Trump also sstates that Cohen pled guilty to finance issues which were not criminal but used by Mueller to embarrass Trump
( zerohedge)
b)This is getting quite out of hand: now the New York Attorney General (staunch Democrats) have started a criminal probe into trump inauguration spending’
(courtesy zerohedge)
Let us head over to the comex:
We are now in the non active delivery month of DECEMBER and here in this front month of December we now have 552 contracts standing for a LOSS of 78 contracts. We had 173 contracts stand for delivery yesterday so we gained 95 contract or an additional 475,000 oz will not stand for delivery as these guys morphed into London based forwards as well as accepting a fiat bonus.
After December we have the non active January contract month and here we saw a gain of 9 contracts up to 1909 contracts. February saw its another 16 contract gain to stand at 98. March, the next big delivery month after December saw a gain of 1341 contracts down to 144,759
FOR COMPARISON TO THE COMEX 2017 CONTRACT MONTH:
ON FIRST DAY NOTICE DEC 1.2017 WE HAD A RATHER LARGE: 19.47 MILLION OZ STAND FOR DELIVERY
BY THE END OF DECEMBER: 33.295 MILLION OZ AS QUEUE JUMPING WAS THE NAME OF THE GAME IN SILVER.
.
we still have not had any adjustments out of the dealer to the customer account to signify a settlement
People continually ask “when” will it happen? For the last 6 months we have responded “it is happening right before your very eyes”! In fact, as of this morning 52% of global markets are now down over 20% from their highs and qualifying as bear markets. Please understand the financial backdrop these weakening markets are falling into. Bluntly, the world is facing a giant margin call that cannot be met.
Liquidity had become extremely tight even as markets made their high water marks. It is this lack of liquidity which threatens to become a self reinforcing flash crash to hell via margin calls. “Don’t worry” they say, central banks will come to the rescue. There is one fundamental problem with this line of thought, the value of the issued currencies themselves. There is zero mathematical way to service and pay off current debt with current currency values … currencies must be massively printed and thus devalued if they are to pay off the mountains of debt! Central banks created the problem, they will not be the solution. Rather, their demise will be part of the solution.
Looking at the backdrop that a revolving door of “buy the dip(pers)” on CNBC assure us is the right thing to do, the list is many and for the most part the issues are carved in stone. Obviously number one on the list are the levels of consumer, corporate, state and sovereign debt. By any measure, we have never been at current levels. Then we have the current unfunded pension problem. This is not just a US problem, it is a $400 trillion mathematical sinkhole seen worldwide.
We can of course add in “valuations”. Current valuations of everything from stocks, bonds, real estate or nearly everything considered an “asset” are at levels not supported by anything including common sense. A move back to the mean would be considered a crash … but pendulums (markets)rarely work that way. Markets almost always overshoot fair value in both directions up and down. The problem which few talk about is markets have “become” the economy. A huge bet was made in belief higher asset values would produce a “wealth effect” and the real economy would levitate. This only bought time but now time is up, declining markets are now eliciting a reverse effect. We are witnessing the end of a global Ponzi scheme where no new money is entering and players are beginning to leave. Remember, fear is a far greater emotion than greed!
One very important area to address is the latest trade issues with China. They have spent years setting up trade deals/routes, clearing facilities as an alternative to SWIFT, financing facilities and of course buttressing their reserves with physical gold. China’s imports of US goods dropped 25% from last November so tariffs are obviously beginning to bite.
Now for the reason I am issuing this warning, last week we found out Huawei’s CFO was arrested in a Canadian airport over violating US sanctions on Iran . I cannot stress how important/dangerous this event is! First, is a Chinese citizen running a Chinese company bound by US law? Not to mention the “timing” of her arrest which occurred while Presidents Trump and Xi were meeting in Argentina. Mr. Trump says he was not aware of the arrest at the time. I don’t know which would be more troubling, whether he knew of the arrest and lied or had no clue the arrest was taking place?
Please consider the ramifications here. This is the equivalent of the CFO of Microsoft being arrested in Thailand, thrown in jail without bail awaiting extradition to Beijing! China will retaliate in violent fashion if she is not released and profuse apologies not given publicly. The bottom line is this, we have weaponized the SWIFT system at the very same moment global players are already questioning the use of dollars for trade… Did they really need anything else as a dollar disincentive?
Also understand the connection between trade, GDP and thus cash flow …versus the ability to service the outsized debt. At the very moment more cash flow is needed, this action on trade will act to turn off the spigot! What we now face is a credit freeze up like 2008-09 with no white knight waiting in the wings with a fire hose of needed liquidity. …And the Fed will again raise rates this month and continue to shrink their balance sheet? This would all be hilarious if it didn’t mean our way of life as we “knew” it will be destroyed.
To finish, do we get a bounce and some relief? Markets are very oversold and short term they are certainly due a bounce, but do we get it? It does not matter because the debt (mathematically unpayable in current currency values) is already in place …and debt does not ever go away until it is either paid, restructured or defaulted. The financial snake has already taken its tail into its mouth and has been swallowing for six months or more already. The only question is how long it will take for marginal players to make the decision the snake will in fact eat itself, and liquidate their positions … or alternatively receive margin calls and be forced into liquidation?
This is NOT the time to be a deer in the headlights! We will look back and see this final chapter as one where a massive flight from “liability” took place. The problem of course is that most all assets either are liabilities themselves or have values bid up via liabilities (loaned capital). All past financial panics were best survived by hiding in “cash”. Today, this sector is comprised by a dichotomy where one side is purely liability of a central bank or has no liability at all. The non liability side (gold and silver) also has a rocket booster attached in the form naked sales. Trolls for years have laughed at this fact as it did not matter …until it does. The amount of REAL gold and silver available for delivery is now miniscule at the very moment in time a position of non financial liability is mandatory! COMEX represents a registered gold inventory of a whopping 4 tons. A cash call by China will expose the fractional reserve nature of our ENTIRE SYSTEM!
The coming crash is a mathematical certainty and one that historians will ask in the future “what were they thinking”. While CNBC parades clown after clown to tell you this is a buying opportunity, I would simply advise DON’T BE STUPID and use your own common sense! We lived through the biggest super cycle of credit the world has ever seen …how do you think this ends?
Standing a fearful watch,
Bill Holter
Holter-Sinclair collaboration
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